Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ethiopia U17 vs Tunisia U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Ethiopia U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ethiopia U17
20%
Draws
16%
Tunisia U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ethiopia U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Tunisia U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ethiopia U17 a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Tunisia U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ethiopia U17, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ethiopia U17 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ethiopia U17 Clean Sheet 18%
Tunisia U17 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia U17 Tunisia U17
Matches Played 16 33
Wins 6 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.25 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Tunisia U17 vs Ethiopia U17
0:1
Oct 28, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Tunisia U17 vs Ethiopia U17
5:1
Oct 13, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Ethiopia U17 vs Tunisia U17
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia U17 49 / 100
Tunisia U17 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia U17 Tunisia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethiopia U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tunisia U17 conceded in 82% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Ethiopia U17 scored in 69% of their last 16 games.

Difficult form: Tunisia U17 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia U17 VS Tunisia U17
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia U17

(Home)
23 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Mozambique U17
19 May
Tunisia U17
0 : 1
Ethiopia U17
16 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Morocco U17
13 May
Egypt U17
0 : 0
Ethiopia U17
02 Oct
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Mali U17
Page 1 of 4

Tunisia U17

(Away)
19 May
Tunisia U17
0 : 1
Ethiopia U17
16 May
Tunisia U17
1 : 2
Egypt U17
13 May
Morocco U17
1 : 1
Tunisia U17
15 Nov
Austria U17
2 : 0
Tunisia U17
09 Nov
Belgium U17
2 : 0
Tunisia U17
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Burkina Faso U17 -
TBD -
Reunion U17 0
Namibia U17 6
Ethiopia U17 6
Central Africa U17 0
TBD -
Tunisia U17 -
Botswana U17 3
Malawi U17 3
TBD -
Rwanda U17 -
Sudan U17 0
Somalia U17 1
Somalia U17 -
Algeria U17 -
Senegal U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sierra Leone U17 -
Chad U17 6
Equatorial Guinea U17 0
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Tanzania U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Egypt U17 -
Zimbabwe U17 4
Mozambique U17 2
TBD -
Congo U17 -
Gabon U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Angola U17 -
Cameroon U17 -
TBD -
Liberia U17 0
Benin U17 3
South Africa U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U17 -
Gambia U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghana U17 -
Nigeria U17 10
Niger U17 1
TBD -
Guinea U17 -
Mauritius U17 6
Libya U17 4
TBD -
Mali U17 -
Semi-finals
Burkina Faso U17 7
Namibia U17 0
Ethiopia U17 4
Tunisia U17 5
Botswana U17 2
Rwanda U17 1
Sudan U17 0
Algeria U17 3
Senegal U17 6
Sierra Leone U17 0
Chad U17 0
Ivory Coast U17 6
Tanzania U17 6
Egypt U17 0
Zimbabwe U17 1
Congo U17 2
Gabon U17 5
Angola U17 4
Cameroon U17 2
Benin U17 5
South Africa U17 2
Zambia U17 1
Gambia U17 0
Ghana U17 6
Nigeria U17 7
Guinea U17 0
Mauritius U17 3
Mali U17 6
Final
Burkina Faso U17 2
Tunisia U17 4
Botswana U17 3
Algeria U17 2
Senegal U17 2
Ivory Coast U17 3
Tanzania U17 1
Congo U17 2
Gabon U17 3
Benin U17 2
South Africa U17 3
Ghana U17 5
Nigeria U17 4
Mali U17 0