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Ethiopia U20 vs Ghana U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2017
Ethiopia U20 Logo

Ethiopia U20

2 - 1
FT
Ghana U20 Logo

Ghana U20

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
10' Event
88' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Ethiopia U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Ethiopia U20
30%
Draws
58%
Ghana U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ghana U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ghana U20 come out ahead of Ethiopia U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ghana U20 a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Ghana U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ethiopia U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ethiopia U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Ghana U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia U20 Ghana U20
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 8 12
Draws 2 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.12 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Ghana U20 vs Ethiopia U20
4:0
May 22, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Ethiopia U20 vs Ghana U20
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia U20 10 / 100
Ghana U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia U20 Ghana U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ghana U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Ethiopia U20 scored in 62% of their last 26 games.

Defensive concern: Ghana U20 conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Ethiopia U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia U20 VS Ghana U20
0 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Ethiopia U20
0 : 4
Tanzania U20
17 Sept
Rwanda U20
0 : 0
Ethiopia U20
11 Oct
Burundi U20
3 : 2
Ethiopia U20
09 Oct
South Sudan U20
2 : 1
Ethiopia U20
07 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 0
Ethiopia U20
Page 1 of 6

Ghana U20

(Away)
02 Aug
Ghana U20
0 : 0
Togo U20
30 Jul
Ghana U20
1 : 1
Burkina Faso U20
27 Jul
Nigeria U20
4 : 2
Ghana U20
23 Jul
Ghana U20
2 : 0
Niger U20
20 Jul
Ghana U20
1 : 2
Ivory Coast U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Senegal U20 -
TBD -
Niger U20 1
Tunisia U20 4
Ethiopia U20 4
Somalia U20 1
TBD -
Ghana U20 -
Gambia U20 4
Sierra Leone U20 0
TBD -
Morocco U20 -
Ivory Coast U20 -
TBD -
Liberia U20 1
Guinea U20 3
Cameroon U20 -
TBD -
Botswana U20 1
Zimbabwe U20 2
Benin U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Libya U20 -
Burkina Faso U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo U20 -
Mauritania U20 3
Algeria U20 2
TBD -
Mali U20 -
Sudan U20 1
Kenya U20 1
TBD -
Malawi U20 -
Burundi U20 -
D.R. Congo U20 -
TBD -
Nigeria U20 -
Lesotho U20 -
TBD -
Mauritius U20 2
Mozambique U20 2
Namibia U20 4
Eswatini U20 2
TBD -
South Africa U20 -
Egypt U20 -
TBD -
Uganda U20 3
Rwanda U20 2
Gabon U20 -
TBD -
Chad U20 -
Angola U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Senegal U20 4
Tunisia U20 1
Ethiopia U20 2
Ghana U20 5
Gambia U20 2
Morocco U20 1
Ivory Coast U20 2
Guinea U20 2
Cameroon U20 3
Zimbabwe U20 0
Benin U20 -
Libya U20 -
Burkina Faso U20 3
Congo U20 3
Mauritania U20 1
Mali U20 7
Sudan U20 -
Malawi U20 -
Burundi U20 1
Nigeria U20 3
Lesotho U20 2
Mozambique U20 1
Namibia U20 0
South Africa U20 2
Egypt U20 2
Rwanda U20 1
Gabon U20 1
Angola U20 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 1
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Senegal U20 3
Ghana U20 2
Gambia U20 1
Guinea U20 2
Cameroon U20 3
Libya U20 4
Burkina Faso U20 0
Mali U20 2
Sudan U20 5
Nigeria U20 5
Lesotho U20 0
South Africa U20 5
Egypt U20 5
Angola U20 0
TBD -
TBD -