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Ethiopia U20 vs South Africa U20

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U20 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with South Africa U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ethiopia U20
6%
Draws
90%
South Africa U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Africa U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and South Africa U20 come out ahead of Ethiopia U20 on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on South Africa U20 taking it.
  • South Africa U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor South Africa U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Ethiopia U20 Clean Sheet 10%
South Africa U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia U20 South Africa U20
Matches Played 24 32
Wins 8 22
Draws 1 4
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.67 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.67 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
South Africa U20 vs Ethiopia U20
1:0
May 11, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Ethiopia U20 vs South Africa U20
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia U20 10 / 100
South Africa U20 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia U20 South Africa U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethiopia U20 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (24 games).

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

South Africa U20 let in goals in 41% of their last 32 matches.

Difficult form: South Africa U20 registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia U20 VS South Africa U20
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.67 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 13%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia U20

(Home)
11 Oct
Burundi U20
3 : 2
Ethiopia U20
09 Oct
South Sudan U20
2 : 1
Ethiopia U20
07 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 0
Ethiopia U20
11 Nov
Ethiopia U20
1 : 2
Sudan U20
08 Nov
Ethiopia U20
2 : 3
South Sudan U20
Page 1 of 5

South Africa U20

(Away)
08 Oct
Colombia U20
3 : 1
South Africa U20
05 Oct
South Africa U20
2 : 1
USA U20
02 Oct
South Africa U20
5 : 0
New Caledonia U20
29 Sept
France U20
2 : 1
South Africa U20
13 Jul
South Africa U20
3 : 0
Malawi U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Malawi U203
Botswana U202
TBD-
D.R. Congo U20-
Mozambique U204
Namibia U202
TBD-
Zambia U20-
Nigeria U20-
TBD-
Kenya U200
Tanzania U201
Angola U20-
TBD-
Eswatini U202
Lesotho U204
Cameroon U20-
TBD-
Djibouti U201
Burundi U202
Ethiopia U205
Seychelles U200
TBD-
South Africa U20-
Ghana U20-
TBD-
Guinea U200
Sierra Leone U202
Rwanda U20-
South Sudan U20-
TBD-
Gabon U20-
Congo U203
Niger U202
TBD-
Benin U20-
Sudan U205
Somalia U200
TBD-
Egypt U20-
Libya U204
Chad U200
Mauritania U201
Tunisia U206
Liberia U200
Gambia U201
Guinea-Bissau U20-
Ivory Coast U20-
Mali U20-
TBD-
TBD-
Burkina Faso U20-
Morocco U20-
TBD-
Equatorial Guinea U20-
Togo U20-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
Malawi U203
D.R. Congo U201
Mozambique U200
Zambia U204
Nigeria U206
Tanzania U201
Angola U201
Lesotho U204
Cameroon U202
Burundi U201
Ethiopia U200
South Africa U203
Ghana U204
Sierra Leone U201
Rwanda U200
Gabon U201
Congo U204
Benin U203
Sudan U200
Egypt U205
Libya U204
Tunisia U202
Liberia U201
Ivory Coast U202
Mali U203
Burkina Faso U202
Morocco U204
Togo U204
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
Malawi U201
Zambia U203
Nigeria U206
Lesotho U200
Cameroon U202
South Africa U203
Ghana U204
Gabon U201
Congo U203
Egypt U202
Libya U203
Ivory Coast U204
Mali U202
Togo U201
TBD-
TBD-