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Ethiopia U20 vs South Sudan U20

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship U20 2022
Tue, Nov 8, 2022
2 - 3
06:00 PM
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Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Ethiopia U20 host South Sudan U20 in the CECAFA Championship U20 2022. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. South Sudan U20 have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Ethiopia U20 have conceded 2.14 and scored 1.29. Head-to-head, Ethiopia U20 have won 0 to South Sudan U20's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 9, 2024, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.33 xG vs 1.51) point toward South Sudan U20. South Sudan U20 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ethiopia U20
39%
Draws
30%
South Sudan U20
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Ethiopia U20 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to South Sudan U20.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in CECAFA Championship U20 2022 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Ethiopia U20 Clean Sheet 15%
South Sudan U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia U20 South Sudan U20
Matches Played 24 22
Wins 8 7
Draws 1 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.29 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.14 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2024 CECAFA Championship U20
South Sudan U20 vs Ethiopia U20
2:1
Nov 8, 2022 CECAFA Championship U20
Ethiopia U20 vs South Sudan U20
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia U20 31 / 100
South Sudan U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia U20 South Sudan U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethiopia U20 scored in 67% of their last 24 games.

South Sudan U20 let in goals in 64% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ethiopia U20 went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

South Sudan U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia U20 VS South Sudan U20
1.29 Goals Scored 0.88
2.14 Goals Conceded 1.38
86% Over 1.5 50%
86% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Ethiopia U202
South Sudan U203
Sudan U200
Uganda U202
Final
South Sudan U201
Uganda U202
Ethiopia U201
Sudan U202