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Ethiopia W vs Kenya W

World World

Friendly International Women 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2012 game between Ethiopia W and Kenya W finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ethiopia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ethiopia W
15%
Draws
28%
Kenya W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethiopia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kenya W come out ahead of Ethiopia W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ethiopia W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Ethiopia W Clean Sheet 14%
Kenya W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia W Kenya W
Matches Played 32 38
Wins 15 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 2.63 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2019 CECAFA Championship Women
Ethiopia W vs Kenya W
0:2
Aug 17, 2019 Friendly International Women
Kenya W vs Ethiopia W
3:2
Jul 25, 2018 CECAFA Championship Women
Kenya W vs Ethiopia W
0:1
Sep 18, 2016 CECAFA Championship Women
Kenya W vs Ethiopia W
3:2
Sep 30, 2012 Friendly International Women
Ethiopia W vs Kenya W
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia W 84 / 100
Kenya W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia W Kenya W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethiopia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ethiopia W scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Kenya W let in goals in 61% of their last 36 matches.

Difficult form: Kenya W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia W VS Kenya W
0 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia W

(Home)
28 Oct
Ethiopia W
0 : 1
Tanzania W
22 Oct
Tanzania W
2 : 0
Ethiopia W
26 Feb
Ethiopia W
3 : 0
Uganda W
21 Feb
Uganda W
2 : 0
Ethiopia W
16 Feb
Ethiopia W
7 : 0
Djibouti W
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Kenya W

(Away)
03 Aug
Kenya W
0 : 2
Algeria W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Morocco W
4 : 0
Kenya W
09 Jun
Lesotho W
0 : 6
Kenya W
06 Jun
Zambia W
2 : 1
Kenya W
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