Sport Picks

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Ethiopia W vs Uganda W

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship Women 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uganda W in this CECAFA Championship Women 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uganda W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ethiopia W
15%
Draws
28%
Uganda W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethiopia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uganda W lately — more wins on the board than Ethiopia W.
  • Ethiopia W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CECAFA Championship Women 2018 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Ethiopia W Clean Sheet 20%
Uganda W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia W Uganda W
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 13 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.6 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Ethiopia W vs Uganda W
3:0
Feb 21, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Uganda W vs Ethiopia W
2:0
Jun 9, 2022 CECAFA Championship Women
Uganda W vs Ethiopia W
1:0
Oct 26, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Ethiopia W vs Uganda W
2:1
Oct 20, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Uganda W vs Ethiopia W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia W 85 / 100
Uganda W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia W Uganda W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethiopia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethiopia W's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Uganda W has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Difficult form: Uganda W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia W VS Uganda W
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia W

(Home)
28 Oct
Ethiopia W
0 : 1
Tanzania W
22 Oct
Tanzania W
2 : 0
Ethiopia W
26 Feb
Ethiopia W
3 : 0
Uganda W
21 Feb
Uganda W
2 : 0
Ethiopia W
16 Feb
Ethiopia W
7 : 0
Djibouti W
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Uganda W

(Away)
19 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 2
Tanzania W
17 Jun
Kenya W
4 : 0
Uganda W
15 Jun
South Sudan W
0 : 5
Uganda W
13 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 1
Burundi W
26 Feb
Ethiopia W
3 : 0
Uganda W
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