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Ethiopia W vs Uganda W Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women
Ethiopia W Logo

Ethiopia W

Wed, Feb 26, 2025
3 - 0
12:00 PM
Uganda W Logo

Uganda W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ethiopia W
15%
Draws
21%
Uganda W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethiopia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ethiopia W haven't matched Uganda W's recent run of results.
  • Ethiopia W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Uganda W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ethiopia W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Ethiopia W Clean Sheet 68%
Uganda W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia W Uganda W
Matches Played 33 37
Wins 17 21
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 3.36 1.92
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Ethiopia W vs Uganda W
3:0
Feb 21, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Uganda W vs Ethiopia W
2:0
Jun 9, 2022 CECAFA Championship Women
Uganda W vs Ethiopia W
1:0
Oct 26, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Ethiopia W vs Uganda W
2:1
Oct 20, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Uganda W vs Ethiopia W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia W 95 / 100
Uganda W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia W Uganda W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethiopia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethiopia W scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Uganda W has conceded goals in 64% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Ethiopia W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia W VS Uganda W
5.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia W

(Home)
03 Oct
Ethiopia W
10 : 0
Seychelles W
30 Sept
Ethiopia W
16 : 0
Seychelles W
28 Oct
Ethiopia W
0 : 1
Tanzania W
22 Oct
Tanzania W
2 : 0
Ethiopia W
26 Feb
Ethiopia W
3 : 0
Uganda W
Page 1 of 7

Uganda W

(Away)
19 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 2
Tanzania W
17 Jun
Kenya W
4 : 0
Uganda W
15 Jun
South Sudan W
0 : 5
Uganda W
13 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 1
Burundi W
26 Feb
Ethiopia W
3 : 0
Uganda W
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola W 4
Zimbabwe W 3
Malawi W -
Congo W -
Botswana W 0
D.R. Congo W 2
TBD -
South Africa W -
Tanzania W 4
Equatorial Guinea W 2
Uganda W 2
Ethiopia W 3
Eswatini W 0
Namibia W 4
TBD -
Zambia W -
Burundi W 1
Burkina Faso W 5
Djibouti W 0
Togo W 10
South Sudan W 0
Algeria W 8
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Rwanda W 2
Egypt W 3
TBD -
Ghana W -
Kenya W 1
Tunisia W 0
Niger W 1
Gambia W 4
Benin W 5
Sierra Leone W 2
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W 3
Cape Verde W 6
Gabon W 1
Mali W 10
Chad W -
Senegal W -
TBD -
Ivory Coast W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Angola W 0
Malawi W 2
D.R. Congo W 1
South Africa W 2
Tanzania W 3
Ethiopia W 0
Namibia W 2
Zambia W 7
Burkina Faso W 3
Togo W 0
Algeria W 3
Cameroon W 1
Egypt W 0
Ghana W 7
Kenya W 4
Gambia W 1
Benin W 1
Nigeria W 3
Cape Verde W 4
Mali W 3
Senegal W 1
Ivory Coast W 0
TBD -
TBD -