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Ethnikos Neou vs Sellana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2020/2021
Sun, Mar 28, 2021
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ethnikos Neou host Sellana in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2020/2021. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Ethnikos Neou at 2.2 goals for, 1.23 against; Sellana at 1.07 for, 1.07 against. Past meetings favor Ethnikos Neou slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2021, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 2.10 vs 1.19, favoring Ethnikos Neou. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Ethnikos Neou
15%
Draws
26%
Sellana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethnikos Neou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Ethnikos Neou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 26% — that's where the model lands on Sellana taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ethnikos Neou Clean Sheet 20%
Sellana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethnikos Neou Sellana
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 20 5
Draws 4 1
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.2 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Sellana vs Ethnikos Neou
0:1
Mar 28, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Ethnikos Neou vs Sellana
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethnikos Neou 28 / 100
Sellana 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethnikos Neou Sellana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sellana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethnikos Neou found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Sellana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 14 matches.

Recent resilience: Ethnikos Neou stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Sellana lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ethnikos Neou VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethnikos Neou

(Home)
04 Oct
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 0
Feraios
26 Sept
Elassona
3 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
14 May
Ethnikos Neou
3 : 2
Panthrakikos
10 May
Apollon Kalamaria
3 : 2
Ethnikos Neou
Page 1 of 6

Sellana

(Away)
06 Jun
Kozani FC
1 : 0
Sellana
30 May
Sellana
5 : 0
Dias Diou FC
23 May
Sellana
0 : 1
Ethnikos Neou
16 May
Atromitos Palamas
1 : 0
Sellana
12 May
Oikonomos
2 : 2
Sellana
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karditsa 14 12 2 0 40:5 38
2 Karitsa 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
3 Ethnikos Neou 14 8 1 5 16:17 25
4 Aetos Makrychoriou 14 7 3 4 24:11 24
5 Kozani FC 14 6 5 3 17:15 23
6 Atromitos Palamas 14 6 4 4 17:14 22
7 AE Iraklis Larissa 14 6 2 6 23:15 20
8 Fikis 14 6 2 6 22:17 20
9 Elassona 14 5 4 5 16:16 19
10 Sellana 14 5 1 8 15:15 16
11 Dias Diou FC 14 3 4 7 11:23 13
12 Ermis Amyntaio 14 3 3 8 12:36 12
13 Meteora 14 2 4 8 11:24 10
14 Oikonomos 14 2 3 9 14:29 9
15 Makedonikos Foufas 14 3 0 11 12:34 9
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion - Play Offs)