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Ethnikos Piraeus vs Atromitos Piraeus

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 game between Ethnikos Piraeus and Atromitos Piraeus finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ethnikos Piraeus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ethnikos Piraeus
15%
Draws
0%
Atromitos Piraeus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethnikos Piraeus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ethnikos Piraeus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ethnikos Piraeus's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ethnikos Piraeus have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
Ethnikos Piraeus Clean Sheet 20%
Atromitos Piraeus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethnikos Piraeus Atromitos Piraeus
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 3
Draws 11 1
Losses 3 26
Goals Scored 1.28 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.56 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ethnikos Piraeus vs Atromitos Piraeus
3:0
Sep 24, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Atromitos Piraeus vs Ethnikos Piraeus
0:3
Feb 3, 2019 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Atromitos Piraeus vs Ethnikos Piraeus
0:1
Oct 21, 2018 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Ethnikos Piraeus vs Atromitos Piraeus
2:1
Feb 21, 2016 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Atromitos Piraeus vs Ethnikos Piraeus
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethnikos Piraeus 85 / 100
Atromitos Piraeus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethnikos Piraeus Atromitos Piraeus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethnikos Piraeus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atromitos Piraeus let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Atromitos Piraeus's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Ethnikos Piraeus found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ethnikos Piraeus VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethnikos Piraeus

(Home)
27 Sept
PAO Rouf
0 : 1
Ethnikos Piraeus
17 May
Zakynthos
2 : 1
Ethnikos Piraeus
13 May
Ethnikos Piraeus
2 : 0
Pyrgos
10 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Ethnikos Piraeus
03 May
Ethnikos Piraeus
0 : 1
Zakynthos
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Atromitos Piraeus

(Away)
28 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
5 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
24 Apr
Atromitos Piraeus
0 : 4
Chaidari
20 Apr
Panionios
4 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
14 Apr
Atromitos Piraeus
0 : 2
Atsalenios FC
07 Apr
Fostiras
6 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panionios 34 26 6 2 81:22 84
2 Ethnikos Piraeus 34 20 12 2 61:19 72
3 Almyros Gaziou 34 17 12 5 59:28 63
4 Aris Petroupolis 34 18 6 10 47:38 60
5 AO Ilisiakos 34 16 9 9 43:29 57
6 Ipato 34 14 9 11 45:34 51
7 Atsalenios FC 34 14 8 12 41:33 50
8 Agios Nikolaos 34 14 10 10 55:38 49
9 Chaidari 34 13 10 11 39:29 49
10 Ellopiakos 34 13 9 12 45:43 48
11 AO Proodeftiki 34 14 6 14 47:38 48
12 Apollon Smyrnis 34 10 12 12 39:37 42
13 Ermis Zonianon 34 9 10 15 36:54 37
14 Episkopi 34 9 10 15 40:54 37
15 Peramaikos 34 9 3 22 32:58 30
16 Fostiras 34 6 13 15 29:40 28
17 Paraskevi 34 5 5 24 26:82 17
18 Atromitos Piraeus 34 3 2 29 16:105 11
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)