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Ethnikos Sochos vs Anagennisi Plagia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2021/2022 game between Ethnikos Sochos and Anagennisi Plagia finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ethnikos Sochos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ethnikos Sochos
30%
Draws
23%
Anagennisi Plagia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ethnikos Sochos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ethnikos Sochos come out ahead of Anagennisi Plagia on wins alone.
  • Ethnikos Sochos are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Ethnikos Sochos Clean Sheet 20%
Anagennisi Plagia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethnikos Sochos Anagennisi Plagia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 13 4
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 0.53 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2022 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Anagennisi Plagia vs Ethnikos Sochos
0:2
Nov 21, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Ethnikos Sochos vs Anagennisi Plagia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethnikos Sochos 85 / 100
Anagennisi Plagia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethnikos Sochos Anagennisi Plagia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethnikos Sochos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethnikos Sochos found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Anagennisi Plagia has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ethnikos Sochos stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ethnikos Sochos VS Anagennisi Plagia
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethnikos Sochos

(Home)
17 Apr
Ethnikos Sochos
2 : 2
Doxa Dramas
03 Apr
Orfeas Xanthi
0 : 0
Ethnikos Sochos
23 Mar
Ethnikos Sochos
2 : 0
Thermaikos FC
13 Mar
Ethnikos Sochos
1 : 2
Apollon Paralimniou
09 Mar
M. Alexandros Orfaniou
0 : 0
Ethnikos Sochos
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Anagennisi Plagia

(Away)
17 Apr
A. Asteras
2 : 0
Anagennisi Plagia
03 Apr
Anagennisi Plagia
0 : 3
Pandramaikos
23 Mar
Aris Avatou
3 : 0
Anagennisi Plagia
13 Mar
Anagennisi Plagia
3 : 0
Alexandroupoli FC
09 Mar
Doxa Dramas
5 : 3
Anagennisi Plagia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A. Asteras 22 14 6 2 33:8 48
2 Pandramaikos 22 10 9 3 38:20 39
3 Apollon Paralimniou 22 10 5 7 34:22 35
4 Aris Avatou 22 9 5 8 28:21 32
5 Thermaikos FC 22 10 2 10 24:25 32
6 Ethnikos Sochos 22 7 10 5 21:13 31
7 Doxa Dramas 22 6 12 4 25:19 30
8 Chrisoupolis 22 7 8 7 25:27 29
9 Alexandroupoli FC 22 7 5 10 27:38 23
10 Orfeas Xanthi 22 6 4 12 22:43 22
11 M. Alexandros Orfaniou 22 4 6 12 13:27 18
12 Anagennisi Plagia 22 5 2 15 17:44 17
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)