Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Etimesgut vs Corluspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Etoz M.
Assist: Ozdemir A.
74' Event
Yagci K.
(Penalty)
79' Event
Capkan M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Etimesgut
15%
Draws
45%
Corluspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Corluspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Corluspor lately — more wins on the board than Etimesgut.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Etimesgut Clean Sheet 19%
Corluspor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etimesgut Corluspor
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 18
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.2 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Etimesgut vs Corluspor
2:2
Oct 5, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Corluspor vs Etimesgut
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etimesgut Compare

Top Goalscorer Etoz M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tuzun B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Corluspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Capkan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etimesgut 36 / 100
Corluspor 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etimesgut Corluspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corluspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etimesgut's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Etimesgut stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Corluspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Etimesgut VS Corluspor
1 Goals Scored 2.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Etimesgut

(Home)
26 Sept
Alanya 1221
0 : 3
Etimesgut
20 Sept
Etimesgut
2 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0
Etimesgut
06 Sept
Etimesgut
1 : 0
Karsiyaka
27 Apr
Kucukcekmece
2 : 0
Etimesgut
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Corluspor

(Away)
27 Sept
Corluspor
1 : 3
Isparta 32 Spor
19 Sept
Arnavutkoy Bl.
0 : 2
Corluspor
13 Sept
Corluspor
0 : 0
Hatayspor
06 Sept
Kastamonuspor
0 : 5
Corluspor
16 May
Corluspor
1 : 0
Malatya
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inegol Kafkas 30 18 8 4 49:26 62
2 Corluspor 30 18 7 5 57:23 61
3 Kucukcekmece 30 17 5 8 54:30 56
4 Etimesgut 30 14 10 6 36:23 52
5 Bursa Yildirimspor 30 13 10 7 38:31 49
6 Silivrispor 30 12 7 11 42:36 43
7 Buyukcekmece Gucu 30 9 13 8 34:35 40
8 Gemlikspor 30 10 8 12 33:42 38
9 Yesil Yalova FK 30 9 10 11 38:36 37
10 Galata Spor Kulubu 30 10 7 13 34:34 37
11 Bulvarspor 30 9 8 13 35:47 35
12 Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 30 7 14 9 23:36 35
13 Cankaya FK 30 8 10 12 38:37 34
14 Kestel Cilekspor 30 8 6 16 27:39 30
15 1926 Polatli Belediye 30 7 7 16 24:44 28
16 Edirnespor Genclik 30 3 6 21 22:65 15
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)