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Etimesgut vs Nevsehir

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Erkip H.
89' Event
Irmak G. K.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 2 2024/2025 game between Etimesgut and Nevsehir finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Etimesgut
15%
Draws
21%
Nevsehir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etimesgut

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Etimesgut carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Etimesgut a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Etimesgut Clean Sheet 68%
Nevsehir Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etimesgut Nevsehir
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 3
Draws 10 11
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.19 0.53
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Etimesgut vs Nevsehir
1:1
Nov 17, 2024 3. Lig Group 2
Nevsehir vs Etimesgut
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etimesgut Compare

Top Goalscorer Erkip H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Nevsehir Compare

Top Goalscorer Irmak G. K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etimesgut 95 / 100
Nevsehir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etimesgut Nevsehir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etimesgut Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etimesgut's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Nevsehir conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Etimesgut has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Nevsehir's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Etimesgut VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Etimesgut

(Home)
26 Sept
Alanya 1221
0 : 3
Etimesgut
20 Sept
Etimesgut
2 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0
Etimesgut
06 Sept
Etimesgut
1 : 0
Karsiyaka
27 Apr
Kucukcekmece
2 : 0
Etimesgut
Page 1 of 7

Nevsehir

(Away)
26 Apr
Nevsehir
3 : 0
Adiyaman FK
20 Apr
Mazidagi
9 : 0
Nevsehir
13 Apr
Buyukcekmece Gucu
6 : 0
Nevsehir
06 Apr
Nevsehir
0 : 5
Balikesirspor
02 Apr
Nevsehir
0 : 5
Silivrispor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Muglaspor 30 18 7 5 42:19 61
2 Balikesirspor 30 17 5 8 54:27 56
3 Amasyaspor 30 13 10 7 48:36 49
4 Silivrispor 30 14 7 9 46:36 49
5 Tire 2021 FK 30 13 9 8 47:28 48
6 Mazidagi 30 10 16 4 34:18 46
7 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 30 12 9 9 45:29 45
8 Etimesgut 30 12 9 9 37:32 45
9 Cayeli SK 30 11 11 8 33:29 44
10 Fatsa Bld. 30 11 6 13 31:39 39
11 Turk Metal 1963 30 9 9 12 37:46 36
12 Buyukcekmece Gucu 30 10 6 14 42:41 36
13 Inegol Kafkas 30 9 8 13 34:38 35
14 Kelkit Bld. 30 7 11 12 31:37 32
15 Nevsehir 30 4 11 15 17:55 23
16 Adiyaman FK 30 1 4 25 14:82 4
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)