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Etimesgut vs Usak Belediyespor Kulubu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Sahinturk S.
Assist: Bulut B.

AI Match Summary

Etimesgut in this 3. Lig Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Etimesgut.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Etimesgut
20%
Draws
24%
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Etimesgut

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Etimesgut have won more games recently than Usak Belediyespor Kulubu.
  • Etimesgut are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Etimesgut Clean Sheet 20%
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etimesgut Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Etimesgut vs Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu vs Etimesgut
1:1
Sep 7, 2024 3. Lig Group 2
Etimesgut vs Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
1:2
Mar 6, 2024 2. Lig Red Group
Etimesgut vs Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
1:0
Oct 22, 2023 2. Lig Red Group
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu vs Etimesgut
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etimesgut Compare

Top Goalscorer Sahinturk S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etimesgut 76 / 100
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etimesgut Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etimesgut Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etimesgut found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Etimesgut went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Etimesgut VS Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Etimesgut

(Home)
03 Oct
Etimesgut
1 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
26 Sept
Alanya 1221
0 : 3
Etimesgut
20 Sept
Etimesgut
2 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0
Etimesgut
06 Sept
Etimesgut
1 : 0
Karsiyaka
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Usak Belediyespor Kulubu

(Away)
03 Oct
Etimesgut
1 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
27 Sept
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
3 : 0
Aksehirspor
19 Sept
Balikesirspor
4 : 1
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
13 Sept
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
2 : 2
Eskisehirspor
06 Sept
Bigaspor
1 : 1
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gemlikspor 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Etimesgut 5 4 0 1 7:1 12
3 Eskisehir Anadolu 5 3 2 0 10:3 11
4 Bursa Yildirimspor 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Eskisehirspor 5 3 1 1 16:6 10
6 Ayvalikgucu 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
7 Balikesirspor 5 3 0 2 14:12 9
8 Bigaspor 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
9 Soke 1970 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
10 Altay 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
11 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
12 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
13 Karsiyaka 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 Bucaspor 1928 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
15 Aksehirspor 5 1 0 4 4:13 3
16 Kepez Bld. 5 0 2 3 2:8 2
17 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 5 0 2 3 1:10 2
18 Alanya 1221 5 0 1 4 1:13 1
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)