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Etincelles vs Al-Hilal Omdurman

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League Umuganda Stadium, Gisenyi
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Etincelles in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Etincelles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Etincelles
30%
Draws
34%
Al-Hilal Omdurman
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Etincelles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Hilal Omdurman lately — more wins on the board than Etincelles.
  • Model gives Etincelles a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Etincelles Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Hilal Omdurman Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etincelles Al-Hilal Omdurman
Matches Played 33 38
Wins 8 23
Draws 12 8
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.13 2
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Premier League
Etincelles vs Al-Hilal Omdurman
2:1
Jan 8, 2026 Premier League
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Etincelles
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etincelles 36 / 100
Al-Hilal Omdurman 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etincelles Al-Hilal Omdurman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etincelles scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Al-Hilal Omdurman conceded in 76% of 38 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Etincelles went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Etincelles VS Al-Hilal Omdurman
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Etincelles

(Home)
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6
Gorilla
16 May
Marines
2 : 3
Etincelles
13 May
APR
3 : 1
Etincelles
Page 1 of 7

Al-Hilal Omdurman

(Away)
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
22 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
16 May
Police
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
13 May
Al-Hilal Omdurman
2 : 1
Gasogi United
10 May
Muhanga
0 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman34236574:2575
2APR341911450:2868
3Al-Merreikh341611741:2459
4Rayon Sport341414640:3056
5Kiyovu341314734:2153
6Police341216629:1952
7Mukura Victory Sports3412111136:3847
8Marines341291347:4345
9Bugesera341281434:3944
10Musanze3411101338:3743
11Gorilla3410101431:4240
12Gicumbi341081638:5438
13Etincelles347161132:4037
14AS Kigali348111527:3935
15Gasogi United348111529:4435
16Amagaju34981719:3835
17Muhanga34871925:4631
18Rutsiro346111730:4729
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)