Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Etincelles vs Gorilla

Rwanda Rwanda

Peace Cup Kigali Pele Stadium, Kigali
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-6. This leg finished 1-6.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Etincelles
20%
Draws
38%
Gorilla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Etincelles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Gorilla have won more games recently than Etincelles.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Gorilla arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gorilla, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Etincelles Clean Sheet 16%
Gorilla Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etincelles Gorilla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Premier League
Gorilla vs Etincelles
0:4
May 22, 2026 Peace Cup
Etincelles vs Gorilla
1:6
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Etincelles vs Gorilla
0:0
May 12, 2025 Premier League
Gorilla vs Etincelles
2:1
Dec 7, 2024 Premier League
Etincelles vs Gorilla
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etincelles 36 / 100
Gorilla 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etincelles Gorilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etincelles found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Gorilla has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Etincelles remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Etincelles VS Gorilla
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Etincelles

(Home)
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6
Gorilla
16 May
Marines
2 : 3
Etincelles
13 May
APR
3 : 1
Etincelles
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Gorilla

(Away)
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al-Merreikh
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6
Gorilla
15 May
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Gorilla
12 May
Rayon Sport
0 : 0
Gorilla
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Bugesera 1
Etincelles 2
Gasogi United 1
APR 4
Gorilla 2
AS Kigali 2
Police 0
Rayon Sport 1
Semi-finals
Etincelles 2
APR 6
Gorilla 1
Rayon Sport 1
Final
APR 2
Rayon Sport 1
Etincelles 1
Gorilla 6