Sport Picks

Rwanda

Premier League Umuganda Stadium

Etincelles

2 - 1

Muhanga

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Etincelles in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Etincelles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Etincelles

40%

Draws

29%

Muhanga

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Etincelles average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Muhanga's 0.75.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%

Etincelles Clean Sheet 68%

Muhanga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Etincelles	Muhanga
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	8	8
Draws	13	6
Losses	13	16
Goals Scored	1.25	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.88	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Premier League

Etincelles vs Muhanga

Possession: 43% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Oct 18, 2025 Premier League

Muhanga vs Etincelles

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Jun 22, 2021 Premier League

Etincelles vs Muhanga

Possession: 41% - 40% Cards: 2 - 0

4:0

Dec 4, 2020 Premier League

Muhanga vs Etincelles

Possession: 58% - 51% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Mar 11, 2020 Premier League

Etincelles vs Muhanga

Possession: 50% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etincelles 42 / 100

Muhanga 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Etincelles Muhanga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Etincelles scored in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Muhanga conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Etincelles remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Etincelles VS Muhanga

1.25 Goals Scored 0.75

1.88 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 13%

63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al-Hilal Omdurman	34	23	6	5	74:25	75
2	APR	34	19	11	4	50:28	68
3	Al-Merreikh	34	16	11	7	41:24	59
4	Rayon Sport	34	14	14	6	40:30	56
5	Kiyovu	34	13	14	7	34:21	53
6	Police	34	12	16	6	29:19	52
7	Mukura Victory Sports	34	12	11	11	36:38	47
8	Marines	34	12	9	13	47:43	45
9	Bugesera	34	12	8	14	34:39	44
10	Musanze	34	11	10	13	38:37	43
11	Gorilla	34	10	10	14	31:42	40
12	Gicumbi	34	10	8	16	38:54	38
13	Etincelles	34	7	16	11	32:40	37
14	AS Kigali	34	8	11	15	27:39	35
15	Gasogi United	34	8	11	15	29:44	35
16	Amagaju	34	9	8	17	19:38	35
17	Muhanga	34	8	7	19	25:46	31
18	Rutsiro	34	6	11	17	30:47	29