Sport Picks
Etoile-Carouge vs Aarau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Switzerland
Challenge League Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Etoile-Carouge in this Challenge League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Etoile-Carouge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Aarau have won more games recently than Etoile-Carouge.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Etoile-Carouge | Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Etoile-Carouge Compare
Aarau Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aarau has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Etoile-Carouge scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Away concern: Aarau has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Etoile-Carouge
(Home)Aarau
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lausanne Ouchy | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20:3 | 24 |
| 2 | Yverdon | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16:9 | 19 |
| 3 | Winterthur | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:11 | 18 |
| 4 | Kriens | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:12 | 15 |
| 5 | Xamax | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 6 | Aarau | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:18 | 12 |
| 7 | Rapperswil-Jona | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 8 | Wil | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 9 | Etoile-Carouge | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:14 | 9 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:24 | 5 |
