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Etoile-Carouge vs Lausanne Ouchy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge
Fri, Nov 27, 2026
VS
07:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Etoile-Carouge host Lausanne Ouchy in the Challenge League. Lausanne Ouchy go into this one as the clear favorite. Etoile-Carouge have averaged 1.14 scored and 1.71 conceded recently, against Lausanne Ouchy's 2.04 scored and 0.96 conceded. Head-to-head, Etoile-Carouge have won 1 to Lausanne Ouchy's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 16, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Lausanne Ouchy. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Etoile-Carouge
20%
Draws
63%
Lausanne Ouchy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lausanne Ouchy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Lausanne Ouchy have won more games recently than Etoile-Carouge.
  • Model gives Lausanne Ouchy a 63% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Etoile-Carouge Clean Sheet 20%
Lausanne Ouchy Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etoile-Carouge Lausanne Ouchy
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.14 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.71 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2026 Swiss Cup
Lausanne Ouchy vs Etoile-Carouge
3:0
Sep 1, 2026 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Etoile-Carouge
3:0
Apr 10, 2026 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Lausanne Ouchy
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Challenge League
Lausanne Ouchy vs Etoile-Carouge
0:1
Dec 19, 2025 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Lausanne Ouchy
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etoile-Carouge 10 / 100
Lausanne Ouchy 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etoile-Carouge Lausanne Ouchy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lausanne Ouchy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Etoile-Carouge scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Lausanne Ouchy let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Etoile-Carouge stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Etoile-Carouge VS Lausanne Ouchy
0.75 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Etoile-Carouge

(Home)
24 Oct
Aarau
1 : 2
Etoile-Carouge
16 Oct
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
09 Oct
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 2
Yverdon
18 Sept
Kriens
4 : 1
Etoile-Carouge
11 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1
Winterthur
Page 1 of 6

Lausanne Ouchy

(Away)
23 Oct
Lausanne Ouchy
0 : 0
Xamax
16 Oct
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
09 Oct
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 3
Lausanne Ouchy
02 Oct
Grenoble
0 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
24 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 2
Sion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 11 7 4 0 20:3 25
2 Yverdon 11 6 4 1 21:11 22
3 Winterthur 11 6 3 2 23:11 21
4 Xamax 11 5 1 5 15:17 16
5 Kriens 11 4 3 4 19:17 15
6 Aarau 11 3 3 5 16:20 12
7 Etoile-Carouge 11 3 3 5 10:15 12
8 Rapperswil-Jona 11 3 2 6 17:21 11
9 Wil 11 2 5 4 18:24 11
10 Stade Nyonnais 11 1 2 8 8:28 5
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)