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Etoile-Carouge vs Rapperswil-Jona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Pousa R.
26' Event
Diarrassouba S.
Assist: Ryter Y.
41' Event
Essiena L.
Assist: Itaitinga

AI Match Summary

Etoile-Carouge in this Challenge League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Etoile-Carouge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Etoile-Carouge
20%
Draws
70%
Rapperswil-Jona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rapperswil-Jona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Etoile-Carouge haven't matched Rapperswil-Jona's recent run of results.
  • Rapperswil-Jona are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Etoile-Carouge Clean Sheet 20%
Rapperswil-Jona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etoile-Carouge Rapperswil-Jona
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.18 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Rapperswil-Jona
2:1
Apr 24, 2026 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Etoile-Carouge
2:1
Jan 30, 2026 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Rapperswil-Jona
2:1
Nov 21, 2025 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Rapperswil-Jona
0:2
Jul 25, 2025 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Etoile-Carouge
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etoile-Carouge Compare

Top Goalscorer Essiena L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Escorza T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Rapperswil-Jona Compare

Top Goalscorer Diarrassouba S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etoile-Carouge 10 / 100
Rapperswil-Jona 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etoile-Carouge Rapperswil-Jona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rapperswil-Jona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rapperswil-Jona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Etoile-Carouge's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Etoile-Carouge has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Etoile-Carouge VS Rapperswil-Jona
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Etoile-Carouge

(Home)
09 Oct
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 2
Yverdon
18 Sept
Kriens
4 : 1
Etoile-Carouge
11 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1
Winterthur
04 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
1 : 1
Wil
01 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
Page 1 of 6

Rapperswil-Jona

(Away)
09 Oct
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 3
Lausanne Ouchy
18 Sept
Xamax
0 : 3
Rapperswil-Jona
11 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
2 : 0
Yverdon
04 Sept
Aarau
3 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona
01 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
1 : 1
Kriens
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 10 7 3 0 20:3 24
2 Yverdon 10 5 4 1 16:9 19
3 Winterthur 10 5 3 2 19:11 18
4 Kriens 10 4 3 3 17:12 15
5 Xamax 10 5 0 5 15:17 15
6 Aarau 10 3 3 4 15:18 12
7 Rapperswil-Jona 10 3 1 6 15:19 10
8 Wil 10 2 4 4 16:22 10
9 Etoile-Carouge 10 2 3 5 8:14 9
10 Stade Nyonnais 10 1 2 7 8:24 5
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