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Etoile-Carouge vs Rapperswil-Jona

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge
Fri, Aug 28, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Etoile-Carouge host Rapperswil-Jona in the Challenge League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Etoile-Carouge at 0.5 goals for, 2.5 against; Rapperswil-Jona at 2 for, 2 against. Head-to-head, Etoile-Carouge have won 1 to Rapperswil-Jona's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Rapperswil-Jona. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Etoile-Carouge
20%
Draws
38%
Rapperswil-Jona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Etoile-Carouge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Etoile-Carouge haven't matched Rapperswil-Jona's recent run of results.
  • Etoile-Carouge are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Rapperswil-Jona have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Etoile-Carouge Clean Sheet 20%
Rapperswil-Jona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etoile-Carouge Rapperswil-Jona
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 2
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.5 2
Goals Conceded 2.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Etoile-Carouge
2:1
Jan 30, 2026 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Rapperswil-Jona
2:1
Nov 21, 2025 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Rapperswil-Jona
0:2
Jul 25, 2025 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Etoile-Carouge
1:0
May 18, 2024 Promotion League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Etoile-Carouge
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etoile-Carouge 42 / 100
Rapperswil-Jona 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etoile-Carouge Rapperswil-Jona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rapperswil-Jona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Etoile-Carouge's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Etoile-Carouge went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Etoile-Carouge VS Rapperswil-Jona
0.5 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Etoile-Carouge

(Home)
31 Jul
Yverdon
1 : 1
Etoile-Carouge
24 Jul
Etoile-Carouge
3 : 0
Aarau
18 Jul
Young Boys
5 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
11 Jul
Servette
1 : 2
Etoile-Carouge
04 Jul
Lausanne
1 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
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Rapperswil-Jona

(Away)
31 Jul
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona
24 Jul
Rapperswil-Jona
4 : 5
Wil
17 Jul
Rapperswil-Jona
3 : 1
Cham
04 Jul
Lugano
1 : 1
Rapperswil-Jona
26 Jun
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 3
Basel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xamax 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
2 Etoile-Carouge 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Lausanne Ouchy 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Kriens 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
5 Wil 2 1 0 1 6:6 3
6 Rapperswil-Jona 2 1 0 1 6:6 3
7 Yverdon 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
8 Winterthur 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
9 Aarau 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
10 Stade Nyonnais 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)