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Etoile-Carouge vs Yverdon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Etoile-Carouge host Yverdon in the Challenge League. This has Yverdon written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Etoile-Carouge at 1.21 goals for, 1.61 against; Yverdon at 1.9 for, 1.23 against. Head-to-head, Etoile-Carouge have won 2 to Yverdon's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 31, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Yverdon to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Etoile-Carouge
20%
Draws
57%
Yverdon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Yverdon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Etoile-Carouge haven't matched Yverdon's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Yverdon taking it.
  • Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Etoile-Carouge Clean Sheet 20%
Yverdon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etoile-Carouge Yverdon
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.21 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Challenge League
Yverdon vs Etoile-Carouge
1:1
May 3, 2026 Challenge League
Yverdon vs Etoile-Carouge
3:5
Feb 20, 2026 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Yverdon
2:2
Nov 30, 2025 Challenge League
Yverdon vs Etoile-Carouge
2:0
Sep 12, 2025 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Yverdon
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etoile-Carouge 12 / 100
Yverdon 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etoile-Carouge Yverdon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yverdon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Etoile-Carouge's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Yverdon has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Etoile-Carouge has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Etoile-Carouge VS Yverdon
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Etoile-Carouge

(Home)
18 Sept
Kriens
4 : 1
Etoile-Carouge
11 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1
Winterthur
04 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
1 : 1
Wil
01 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
28 Aug
Etoile-Carouge
2 : 1
Rapperswil-Jona
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Yverdon

(Away)
02 Oct
Grasshoppers
2 : 3
Yverdon
20 Sept
Yverdon
0 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
11 Sept
Rapperswil-Jona
2 : 0
Yverdon
06 Sept
Yverdon
4 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
01 Sept
Xamax
1 : 2
Yverdon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 9 6 3 0 17:3 21
2 Winterthur 9 5 3 1 19:8 18
3 Yverdon 9 4 4 1 14:9 16
4 Kriens 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
5 Aarau 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
6 Xamax 9 4 0 5 12:17 12
7 Rapperswil-Jona 9 3 1 5 15:16 10
8 Etoile-Carouge 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
9 Wil 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
10 Stade Nyonnais 9 0 2 7 6:23 2
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)