Sport Picks

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Etoile de L'Est vs Gorilla

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Iradukunda S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2023/2024 game between Etoile de L'Est and Gorilla finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gorilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Etoile de L'Est
15%
Draws
48%
Gorilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gorilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Etoile de L'Est haven't matched Gorilla's recent run of results.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Gorilla taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Etoile de L'Est Clean Sheet 22%
Gorilla Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etoile de L'Est Gorilla
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.66 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2024 Premier League
Etoile de L'Est vs Gorilla
0:1
Nov 24, 2023 Premier League
Gorilla vs Etoile de L'Est
1:0
Jun 13, 2022 Premier League
Etoile de L'Est vs Gorilla
0:0
Jan 24, 2022 Premier League
Gorilla vs Etoile de L'Est
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etoile de L'Est Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Gorilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Iradukunda S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etoile de L'Est 24 / 100
Gorilla 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etoile de L'Est Gorilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gorilla conceded in 73% of 37 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Etoile de L'Est went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Etoile de L'Est scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Etoile de L'Est VS Gorilla
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
33% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Etoile de L'Est

(Home)
12 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 0
Kigali FC
05 Sept
Amagaju
2 : 0
Etoile de L'Est
11 May
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 3
Bugesera
04 May
Police
1 : 2
Etoile de L'Est
28 Apr
Etoile de L'Est
1 : 0
Marines
Page 1 of 6

Gorilla

(Away)
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1
Etincelles
05 Sept
Kiyovu
0 : 1
Gorilla
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al-Merreikh
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6
Gorilla
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 30 19 11 0 47:17 68
2 Rayon Sport 30 17 6 7 42:25 57
3 Musanze 30 16 5 9 34:24 53
4 Mukura Victory Sports 30 13 8 9 39:32 47
5 Kigali FC 30 12 9 9 26:25 45
6 Kiyovu 30 11 11 8 38:34 44
7 Police 30 12 3 15 35:34 39
8 Amagaju 30 10 9 11 30:31 39
9 Gasogi United 30 10 6 14 31:34 36
10 Gorilla 30 9 8 13 26:33 35
11 Marines 30 9 8 13 32:42 35
12 Muhazi United 30 7 12 11 21:29 33
13 Bugesera 30 7 11 12 37:35 32
14 Etincelles 30 8 8 14 35:44 32
15 Sunrise 30 9 5 16 25:40 32
16 Etoile de L'Est 30 9 4 17 20:39 31
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)