Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Etoile Filante vs Espoir

Togo Togo

Championnat National
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Etoile Filante play Espoir in the Championnat National. It looks like a close match. Recently, Etoile Filante averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.53 conceded. Espoir averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Etoile Filante won 2, Espoir won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 31, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Etoile Filante and 0.32 for Espoir. This points to a Etoile Filante double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Etoile Filante
27%
Draws
23%
Espoir
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Etoile Filante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Etoile Filante picked up more points recently compared to Espoir.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 0.32 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25%
Etoile Filante Clean Sheet 33%
Espoir Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 31%
Second Half Goal 32%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etoile Filante Espoir
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 5 12
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.8 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.53 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Championnat National
Espoir vs Etoile Filante
1:3
Jan 30, 2026 Championnat National
Etoile Filante vs Espoir
1:0
Apr 9, 2025 Championnat National
Espoir vs Etoile Filante
1:1
Dec 18, 2024 Championnat National
Etoile Filante vs Espoir
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etoile Filante 52 / 100
Espoir 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etoile Filante Espoir

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Etoile Filante or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +37.5%
6.25
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Etoile Filante attacking → ← attacking Espoir

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etoile Filante scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Espoir let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Etoile Filante went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Espoir lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 27
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1ASC Kara26186241:1360
2ASKO Kara26175437:1956
3Etoile Filante261241019:1440
4Unisport261061022:2436
5Entente II2689917:1633
6Dynamic Togolais26961119:2333
7Barracuda26881018:2132
8Tambo26871117:1931
9Semassi26871119:2431
10Gbohloe-Su26710916:1831
11Gomido26861216:2530
12AS OTR26851320:2729
13Binah26611920:2529
14Espoir265101113:2625