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Etoile Filante vs Salitas Prediction & H2H Stats

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League 2025/2026 Stade du 4 Aout, Ouagadougou
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Match Events

50' Event
Kone K.
90' Event
Josiah P. C.
Assist: Simde H.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Etoile Filante and Salitas finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Salitas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Etoile Filante
30%
Draws
33%
Salitas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Etoile Filante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Salitas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Etoile Filante taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Etoile Filante Clean Sheet 68%
Salitas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etoile Filante Salitas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 12 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.73 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Premier League
Salitas vs Etoile Filante
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 Premier League
Etoile Filante vs Salitas
0:2
Mar 23, 2025 Premier League
Salitas vs Etoile Filante
0:2
Nov 16, 2024 Premier League
Etoile Filante vs Salitas
1:2
Feb 26, 2024 Premier League
Etoile Filante vs Salitas
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etoile Filante Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Salitas Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Josiah P. C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etoile Filante 95 / 100
Salitas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etoile Filante Salitas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etoile Filante Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salitas let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Etoile Filante stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Etoile Filante found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Etoile Filante VS Salitas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Etoile Filante

(Home)
10 May
Real Du Faso
0 : 0
Etoile Filante
03 May
Etoile Filante
3 : 0
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
26 Apr
Sporting Cascades
0 : 0
Etoile Filante
18 Apr
Etoile Filante
0 : 1
ASF Dioulasso
12 Apr
Etoile Filante
2 : 0
Majestic
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Salitas

(Away)
02 Oct
Salitas
1 : 3
Real Du Faso
27 Sept
USFA
3 : 0
Salitas
20 Sept
Salitas
2 : 2
ASF Dioulasso
10 May
Salitas
3 : 2
ASF Dioulasso
03 May
Salitas
2 : 1
AS Douanes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 30 20 9 1 47:15 69
2 USFA 30 12 13 5 31:17 49
3 Sporting Cascades 30 10 13 7 25:18 43
4 AS Douanes 30 10 13 7 29:29 43
5 Majestic 30 11 10 9 26:27 43
6 CFFEB 30 10 10 10 25:25 40
7 Salitas 30 10 10 10 29:31 40
8 Kadiogo 30 10 8 12 27:27 38
9 ASFA Yennega 30 9 11 10 24:28 38
10 Vitesse 30 9 10 11 25:25 37
11 Real Du Faso 30 9 10 11 21:23 37
12 ASF Dioulasso 30 9 10 11 25:31 37
13 Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 8 12 10 24:28 36
14 Etoile Filante 30 7 12 11 22:29 33
15 Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 9 15 11:28 27
16 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 8 16 27:37 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)