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Etoile Filante vs Sonabel Ouagadougou

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade du 4 Aout
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Ouedraogo O.
Assist: Sare N.
45' Event
Ouedraogo V. A.
87' Event
Kahan M.

AI Match Summary

Sonabel Ouagadougou in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sonabel Ouagadougou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Etoile Filante
17%
Draws
13%
Sonabel Ouagadougou
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Etoile Filante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Sonabel Ouagadougou have won more games recently than Etoile Filante.
  • Model gives Etoile Filante a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Etoile Filante Clean Sheet 68%
Sonabel Ouagadougou Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etoile Filante Sonabel Ouagadougou
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 12 12
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Etoile Filante
0:0
Dec 26, 2025 Premier League
Etoile Filante vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
1:2
Mar 7, 2025 Premier League
Etoile Filante vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
1:1
Nov 28, 2024 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Etoile Filante
2:0
Feb 21, 2024 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Etoile Filante
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etoile Filante Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouedraogo O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sonabel Ouagadougou Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouedraogo V. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kahan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etoile Filante 77 / 100
Sonabel Ouagadougou 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etoile Filante Sonabel Ouagadougou

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sonabel Ouagadougou has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Etoile Filante stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Etoile Filante scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Etoile Filante VS Sonabel Ouagadougou
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rahimo30209147:1569
2USFA301213531:1749
3Sporting Cascades301013725:1843
4AS Douanes301013729:2943
5Majestic301110926:2743
6CFFEB3010101025:2540
7Salitas3010101029:3140
8Kadiogo301081227:2738
9ASFA Yennega309111024:2838
10Vitesse309101125:2537
11Real Du Faso309101121:2337
12ASF Dioulasso309101125:3137
13Sonabel Ouagadougou308121024:2836
14Etoile Filante307121122:2933
15Bobo-Dioulasso30691511:2827
16AJE Bobo-Dioulasso30681627:3726