Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ETSV Hamburg vs Altona

World World

Club Friendly
Thu, Jan 29, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ETSV Hamburg host Altona in the Club Friendly. ETSV Hamburg are expected to control this from the start. Altona have shipped 3 goals a game lately, while ETSV Hamburg have conceded 0.96 and scored 3.5. Past meetings favor Altona slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 10, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.44 vs 1.06, favoring ETSV Hamburg. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
ETSV Hamburg
20%
Draws
23%
Altona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ETSV Hamburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • ETSV Hamburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • ETSV Hamburg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
ETSV Hamburg Clean Sheet 20%
Altona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ETSV Hamburg Altona
Matches Played 28 20
Wins 19 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 3.5 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.96 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Club Friendly
ETSV Hamburg vs Altona
0:0
Jan 29, 2026 Club Friendly
ETSV Hamburg vs Altona
0:0
May 16, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
ETSV Hamburg vs Altona
1:5
Nov 16, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Altona vs ETSV Hamburg
3:1
Apr 6, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Altona vs ETSV Hamburg
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ETSV Hamburg 85 / 100
Altona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ETSV Hamburg Altona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETSV Hamburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ETSV Hamburg scored in 96% of their last 28 games.

Altona let in goals in 95% of their last 20 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

ETSV Hamburg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ETSV Hamburg VS Altona
3 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ETSV Hamburg

(Home)
21 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
HEBC Hamburg
14 Aug
TSV Concordia
1 : 4
ETSV Hamburg
31 Jul
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 1
Teutonia Ottensen
25 Jul
Dassendorf
1 : 1
ETSV Hamburg
15 May
ETSV Hamburg
6 : 2
TSV Buchholz 08
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Altona

(Away)
14 Aug
Dassendorf
6 : 0
Altona
01 Aug
Altona
0 : 2
Sasel
25 Jul
Suderelbe
1 : 2
Altona
11 Jul
Bremer
1 : 1
Altona
30 Jun
Altona
2 : 6
St. Pauli
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