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ETSV Hamburg vs Tornesch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Duzguner V.
26' Event
Stark C.
(Penalty)
67' Event
Scobel P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
ETSV Hamburg
15%
Draws
28%
Tornesch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ETSV Hamburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ETSV Hamburg lately — more wins on the board than Tornesch.
  • ETSV Hamburg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
ETSV Hamburg Clean Sheet 68%
Tornesch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ETSV Hamburg Tornesch
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 3.1 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.23 3.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
ETSV Hamburg vs Tornesch
3:3
Aug 20, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Tornesch vs ETSV Hamburg
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ETSV Hamburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Duzguner V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Monteiro E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Tornesch Compare

Top Goalscorer Scobel P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Johannig M. H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ETSV Hamburg 95 / 100
Tornesch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ETSV Hamburg Tornesch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETSV Hamburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ETSV Hamburg scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

Tornesch let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Tornesch's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

ETSV Hamburg VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ETSV Hamburg

(Home)
04 Oct
Paloma
1 : 4
ETSV Hamburg
27 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 1
Tesla Hamburg
11 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
Harksheide
28 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
1 : 4
TSV Buchholz 08
21 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
HEBC Hamburg
Page 1 of 6

Tornesch

(Away)
28 Jun
Tornesch
0 : 5
Eintracht Norderstedt
21 Jan
Tornesch
1 : 6
Eintracht Norderstedt
17 May
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
7 : 0
Tornesch
12 May
Tornesch
4 : 3
Alsterbruder
28 Apr
Sasel
4 : 0
Tornesch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 91:29 82
2 Dassendorf 34 24 5 5 96:36 77
3 ETSV Hamburg 34 18 9 7 74:43 63
4 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 8 8 86:51 62
5 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 11 7 75:52 59
6 Sasel 34 16 8 10 76:54 56
7 Paloma 34 14 8 12 58:56 50
8 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 14 7 13 79:67 49
9 Suderelbe 34 13 9 12 85:61 48
10 TSV Buchholz 08 34 13 7 14 65:65 46
11 Harksheide 34 12 10 12 61:63 46
12 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 11 9 14 70:70 42
13 TSV Concordia 34 11 6 17 71:91 39
14 Alsterbruder 34 10 4 20 70:91 34
15 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 9 5 20 57:82 32
16 Rugenbergen 34 9 3 22 46:84 30
17 Tornesch 34 6 6 22 43:106 24
18 Duneberg 34 5 2 27 39:141 17
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