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Ettelbruck vs FC Residence Walferdange - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue Stade Am Deich, Ettelbruck
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Iserentant Y.
Assist: Peti Monteiro F. J.
21'
Delgado G.
25' Event
Fettahi S.
Assist: Da Silva F.

AI Match Summary

The BGL Ligue game between Ettelbruck and FC Residence Walferdange finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Residence Walferdange.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ettelbruck
15%
Draws
48%
FC Residence Walferdange
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Residence Walferdange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • FC Residence Walferdange carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ettelbruck's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ettelbruck Clean Sheet 10%
FC Residence Walferdange Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ettelbruck FC Residence Walferdange
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 0
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.57 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.89 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 BGL Ligue
Ettelbruck vs FC Residence Walferdange
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ettelbruck Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Residence Walferdange Compare

Top Goalscorer Macedo P.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Iserentant Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ettelbruck 47 / 100
FC Residence Walferdange 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ettelbruck FC Residence Walferdange

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ettelbruck Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Residence Walferdange let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Ettelbruck's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Ettelbruck has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ettelbruck VS FC Residence Walferdange
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ettelbruck

(Home)
20 Sept
FC Schengen
0 : 1
Ettelbruck
16 Sept
Victoria Rosport
1 : 1
Ettelbruck
12 Sept
Differdange
1 : 0
Ettelbruck
06 Sept
Hesperange
0 : 3
Ettelbruck
30 Aug
Ettelbruck
0 : 5
FC Residence Walferdange
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FC Residence Walferdange

(Away)
20 Sept
Grevenmacher
3 : 2
FC Residence Walferdange
16 Sept
FC Residence Walferdange
2 : 1
Mondorf
13 Sept
Hesperange
0 : 3
FC Residence Walferdange
06 Sept
FC Residence Walferdange
0 : 3
UNA Strassen
30 Aug
Ettelbruck
0 : 5
FC Residence Walferdange
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UNA Strassen 8 8 0 0 17:2 24
2 Differdange 8 7 0 1 19:5 21
3 Mondorf 8 6 0 2 16:11 18
4 Racing Luxembourg 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
5 Progres Niedercorn 8 5 1 2 13:5 16
6 Kaerjeng 8 5 0 3 23:15 15
7 Bissen 8 5 0 3 18:11 15
8 FC Residence Walferdange 8 5 0 3 16:10 15
9 Hostert 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
10 Jeunesse Esch 8 2 1 5 14:17 7
11 Dudelange 8 2 1 5 8:15 7
12 Rumelange 8 2 0 6 8:23 6
13 Victoria Rosport 8 1 2 5 11:20 5
14 Ettelbruck 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
15 Wiltz 8 1 1 6 14:22 4
16 Hesperange 8 0 0 8 2:30 -12
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue (Relegation)