Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2005

Ayat Rudnyi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Eurasia Astana play Ayat Rudnyi in the First Division 2005. It looks like a close match. Recently, Eurasia Astana averaged 1.04 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. Ayat Rudnyi averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Eurasia Astana won 0, Ayat Rudnyi won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 14, 2005 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Eurasia Astana and 1.31 for Ayat Rudnyi. This points to a Ayat Rudnyi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Eurasia Astana

15%

Draws

47%

Ayat Rudnyi

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ayat Rudnyi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Eurasia Astana picked up more points recently compared to Ayat Rudnyi.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Eurasia Astana Clean Sheet 18%

Ayat Rudnyi Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Eurasia Astana	Ayat Rudnyi
Matches Played	24	24
Wins	9	11
Draws	4	0
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.04	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.42	1.67
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2005 First League

Ayat Rudnyi vs Eurasia Astana

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Jun 30, 2005 First League

Eurasia Astana vs Ayat Rudnyi

Possession: 46% - 60% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eurasia Astana 38 / 100

Ayat Rudnyi 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Eurasia Astana Ayat Rudnyi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ayat Rudnyi or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Eurasia Astana attacking → ← attacking Ayat Rudnyi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eurasia Astana scored in 63% of their last 24 games.

Ayat Rudnyi let in goals in 71% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Eurasia Astana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ayat Rudnyi lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 33

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kaisar Kyzylorda	22	17	4	1	51:10	55
2	Cesna Almaty	22	17	2	3	57:16	53
3	Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty	22	14	6	2	70:23	48
4	Gornyak Khromtay	22	13	3	6	30:26	42
5	Kaspij Aktau	22	10	6	6	31:17	36
6	Ordabasy 2	22	9	4	9	40:48	31
7	Zhambyl Taraz	22	7	3	12	24:31	24
8	Munaily Atyrau	22	7	3	12	20:38	24
9	AI-Universitet	22	5	6	11	19:41	21
10	Zhastar Uralsk	22	5	3	14	21:46	18
11	Aktobe 2	22	3	3	16	26:65	12
12	Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2	22	2	3	17	14:42	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Energetik Pavlodar	24	21	3	0	109:7	66
2	Spartak Semey	24	18	5	1	76:17	59
3	Ertis Pavlodar 2	24	15	3	6	60:28	48
4	Shakhter Yunost	24	13	2	9	35:30	41
5	Ayat Rudnyi	24	11	0	13	28:40	33
6	Asbest Zitikara	24	10	3	11	30:34	33
7	Eurasia Astana	24	9	4	11	25:34	31
8	Vostok Oskemen 2	24	8	5	11	39:43	29
9	Aksu	24	7	3	14	22:43	24
10	Batyr Ekibastuz	24	6	4	14	25:52	22
11	Spartak Semey 2	24	6	3	15	23:59	21
12	Kyzylzhar Academy	24	5	4	15	20:73	19
13	Bolat	24	4	7	13	12:44	19