Sport Picks

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Everton U23 vs Arsenal U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 The BIG HELP Stadium, Southport
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Hughes R.
65'
Warrington L.
65'
Sub
Akinola T. In: Cozier-Duberry A.
Out: Akinola T.

AI Match Summary

Everton U23 in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Everton U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Everton U23
30%
Draws
47%
Arsenal U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arsenal U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Everton U23 have won more games recently than Arsenal U23.
  • Arsenal U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Everton U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Arsenal U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Everton U23 Arsenal U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 13
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.27 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.77 2.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2021 Premier League 2
Everton U23 vs Arsenal U23
2:0
Oct 22, 2021 Premier League 2
Arsenal U23 vs Everton U23
4:0
Mar 21, 2021 Premier League 2
Everton U23 vs Arsenal U23
1:1
Nov 20, 2020 Premier League 2
Arsenal U23 vs Everton U23
1:0
Jan 13, 2020 Premier League 2
Everton U23 vs Arsenal U23
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Everton U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cannon T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kouyate K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.89

Arsenal U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.98
Avg xA / game 1.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Everton U23 10 / 100
Arsenal U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Everton U23 Arsenal U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsenal U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arsenal U23 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Everton U23's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Everton U23 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Everton U23 VS Arsenal U23
1.29 Goals Scored 1.5
2.86 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Everton U23

(Home)
29 Apr
Manchester City U23
7 : 0
Everton U23
25 Apr
Everton U23
3 : 4
West Ham U23
15 Apr
Everton U23
2 : 0
Chelsea U23
04 Apr
Everton U23
0 : 2
Blackburn U23
18 Mar
Manchester United U23
3 : 0
Everton U23
Page 1 of 6

Arsenal U23

(Away)
01 Aug
St. Albans
0 : 1
Arsenal U23
15 Jul
Hendon
1 : 1
Arsenal U23
05 Jul
Woking
3 : 2
Arsenal U23
29 Apr
Arsenal U23
1 : 1
Leeds U23
22 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 1
Arsenal U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
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