Sport Picks
Everton vs Manchester City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Premier League 2025/2026 Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool 
Match Events
43'
43'
Doku J.
Assist: Cherki R.
45'
45'
Keane M.
48'
48'
Beto
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
30%
44%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Manchester City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Manchester City have won more games recently than Everton.
- Manchester City are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Everton Clean Sheet 15%
Manchester City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Everton | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 19 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 4, 2026 Premier League
Everton vs Manchester City
3:3
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Manchester City vs Everton
2:0
Apr 19, 2025 Premier League
Everton vs Manchester City
0:2
Dec 26, 2024 Premier League
Manchester City vs Everton
1:1
Feb 10, 2024 Premier League
Manchester City vs Everton
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Everton Compare
Top Goalscorer Barry T.
2 Goals Assists Leader O'Brien J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Manchester City Compare
Top Goalscorer Doku J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Haaland E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Everton 15 / 100
Manchester City 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Everton Manchester City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Manchester City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Everton went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Everton scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Manchester City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Everton VS Manchester City
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Everton
(Home) 19 Sept
Everton
1 : 0 Ipswich
16 Sept
Everton
1 : 0 Wolves
12 Sept
Tottenham
0 : 0 Everton
06 Sept
Everton
2 : 2 Manchester United
29 Aug
Bournemouth
1 : 1 Everton
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Everton
1 : 0 Ipswich
16 Sept
Everton
1 : 0 Wolves
06 Sept
Everton
2 : 2 Manchester United
22 Aug
Everton
2 : 0 Crystal Palace
15 Aug
Everton
1 : 1 Lille
Page 1 of 3
Manchester City
(Away) 20 Sept
Manchester City
5 : 3 Sunderland
17 Sept
Manchester City
5 : 0 Norwich
13 Sept
Manchester United
0 : 1 Manchester City
08 Sept
FC Porto
0 : 2 Manchester City
05 Sept
Manchester City
1 : 0 Coventry
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Manchester United
0 : 1 Manchester City
08 Sept
FC Porto
0 : 2 Manchester City
28 Aug
Crystal Palace
1 : 4 Manchester City
16 Aug
Arsenal
3 : 0 Manchester City
05 Aug
K-League Stars
1 : 3 Manchester City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)
