Sport Picks
Everton vs Manchester United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Premier League Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool 
Match Events
13'
13'
Armstrong H.
34'
34'
Johnson B.
46'
46'
Mbeumo B.
Assist: Mainoo K.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Everton and Manchester United finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
35%
23%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Everton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Manchester United come out ahead of Everton on wins alone.
- Everton are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Everton Clean Sheet 17%
Manchester United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Everton | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Premier League
Everton vs Manchester United
2:2
Feb 23, 2026 Premier League
Everton vs Manchester United
0:1
Nov 24, 2025 Premier League
Manchester United vs Everton
0:1
Aug 3, 2025 Premier League Summer Series
Manchester United vs Everton
2:2
Feb 22, 2025 Premier League
Everton vs Manchester United
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Everton Compare
Top Goalscorer George T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Maitland-Niles A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Manchester United Compare
Top Goalscorer Mbeumo B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sesko B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Everton 41 / 100
Manchester United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Everton Manchester United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Everton has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Everton scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Manchester United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Everton VS Manchester United
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Everton
(Home) 19 Sept
Everton
1 : 0 Ipswich
16 Sept
Everton
1 : 0 Wolves
12 Sept
Tottenham
0 : 0 Everton
06 Sept
Everton
2 : 2 Manchester United
29 Aug
Bournemouth
1 : 1 Everton
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Everton
1 : 0 Ipswich
16 Sept
Everton
1 : 0 Wolves
06 Sept
Everton
2 : 2 Manchester United
22 Aug
Everton
2 : 0 Crystal Palace
15 Aug
Everton
1 : 1 Lille
Page 1 of 3
Manchester United
(Away) 20 Sept
Fulham
1 : 1 Manchester United
16 Sept
Manchester United
2 : 3 Brighton
13 Sept
Manchester United
0 : 1 Manchester City
10 Sept
Manchester United
4 : 0 Sabah Baku
06 Sept
Everton
2 : 2 Manchester United
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Fulham
1 : 1 Manchester United
06 Sept
Everton
2 : 2 Manchester United
22 Aug
Hull City
2 : 0 Manchester United
08 Aug
PSG
1 : 1 Manchester United
24 Jul
Rosenborg
0 : 5 Manchester United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle Utd | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 12 | Manchester United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
