Sport Picks
Everton vs Newcastle Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
EFL Cup Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the EFL Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Everton have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Newcastle Utd's 1.43 scored and 1.93 conceded. Past meetings favor Everton slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 12, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.31, favoring Everton. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Everton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Everton carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Everton a 46% chance of winning this.
- Everton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Newcastle Utd, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Everton Clean Sheet 18%
Newcastle Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Everton | Newcastle Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Newcastle Utd vs Everton
1:3
Feb 28, 2026 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Everton
2:3
Nov 29, 2025 Premier League
Everton vs Newcastle Utd
1:4
May 25, 2025 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Everton
0:1
Oct 5, 2024 Premier League
Everton vs Newcastle Utd
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Everton 76 / 100
Newcastle Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Everton Newcastle Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Everton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newcastle Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
Everton scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Everton has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Everton VS Newcastle Utd
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Everton
(Home) 17 Oct
Everton
0 : 2 Chelsea
11 Oct
Hull City
2 : 2 Everton
19 Sept
Everton
1 : 0 Ipswich
16 Sept
Everton
1 : 0 Wolves
12 Sept
Tottenham
0 : 0 Everton
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17 Oct
Everton
0 : 2 Chelsea
19 Sept
Everton
1 : 0 Ipswich
16 Sept
Everton
1 : 0 Wolves
06 Sept
Everton
2 : 2 Manchester United
22 Aug
Everton
2 : 0 Crystal Palace
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Newcastle Utd
(Away) 17 Oct
Newcastle Utd
0 : 1 Aston Villa
12 Oct
Coventry
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1 Hull City
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1 Newcastle Utd
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12 Oct
Coventry
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1 Newcastle Utd
29 Aug
Tottenham
0 : 2 Newcastle Utd
08 Aug
Valencia
1 : 2 Newcastle Utd
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
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Final
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