Sport Picks
Everton vs Sunderland
England
Premier League 2025/2026 Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool 
Match Events
23'
23'
Sub
Alderete O. In: O'Nien L.
Out: Alderete O.
25'
25'
Iroegbunam T.
43'
43'
Rohl M.
Assist: Keane M.
AI Match Summary
Sunderland in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sunderland.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Sunderland have won more games recently than Everton.
- Model gives Everton a 31% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Everton Clean Sheet 68%
Sunderland Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Everton | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Premier League
Everton vs Sunderland
1:3
Jan 10, 2026 FA Cup
Everton vs Sunderland
1:2
Nov 3, 2025 Premier League
Sunderland vs Everton
1:1
Sep 20, 2017 EFL Cup
Everton vs Sunderland
3:0
Feb 25, 2017 Premier League
Everton vs Sunderland
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Everton Compare
Top Goalscorer Rohl M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Sunderland Compare
Top Goalscorer Brobbey B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Le Fee E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Everton 77 / 100
Sunderland 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Everton Sunderland
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Everton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Everton found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Everton has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Sunderland has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Everton VS Sunderland
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Everton
(Home) 19 Sept
Everton
1 : 0 Ipswich
16 Sept
Everton
1 : 0 Wolves
12 Sept
Tottenham
0 : 0 Everton
06 Sept
Everton
2 : 2 Manchester United
29 Aug
Bournemouth
1 : 1 Everton
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Everton
1 : 0 Ipswich
16 Sept
Everton
1 : 0 Wolves
06 Sept
Everton
2 : 2 Manchester United
22 Aug
Everton
2 : 0 Crystal Palace
15 Aug
Everton
1 : 1 Lille
Page 1 of 3
Sunderland
(Away) 16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0 AZ Alkmaar
12 Sept
Sunderland
0 : 2 Arsenal
08 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0 Hull City
05 Sept
Brentford
1 : 1 Sunderland
30 Aug
Sunderland
1 : 0 Fulham
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Brentford
1 : 1 Sunderland
22 Aug
Ipswich
2 : 1 Sunderland
08 Aug
Lens
0 : 2 Sunderland
08 Aug
Lens
4 : 1 Sunderland
02 Aug
Wrexham
0 : 1 Sunderland
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)
