Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Everton vs U. De Concepcion

Chile Chile

Liga de Primera Estadio Sausalito, Vina del Mar
Mon, Aug 24, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Everton host U. De Concepcion in the Liga de Primera. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Everton have averaged 1.45 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against U. De Concepcion's 0.93 scored and 1.77 conceded. Past meetings favor Everton slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.44) point toward Everton. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Everton
20%
Draws
22%
U. De Concepcion
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Everton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Everton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Everton taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Everton Clean Sheet 16%
U. De Concepcion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Everton U. De Concepcion
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.45 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Liga de Primera
U. De Concepcion vs Everton
0:3
Dec 28, 2020 Liga de Primera
U. De Concepcion vs Everton
0:0
Jan 24, 2020 Liga de Primera
Everton vs U. De Concepcion
2:1
Sep 27, 2019 Liga de Primera
Everton vs U. De Concepcion
1:0
Feb 17, 2019 Liga de Primera
U. De Concepcion vs Everton
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Everton 84 / 100
U. De Concepcion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Everton U. De Concepcion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Everton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. De Concepcion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Everton scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Everton stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: U. De Concepcion has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Everton VS U. De Concepcion
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Everton

(Home)
08 Aug
Huachipato
1 : 4
Everton
01 Aug
Everton
3 : 4
Colo Colo
27 Jul
Union La Calera
1 : 1
Everton
11 Jul
Copiapo
0 : 1
Everton
04 Jul
San Luis
2 : 2
Everton
Page 1 of 6

U. De Concepcion

(Away)
14 Aug
U. De Concepcion
0 : 2
La Serena
09 Aug
D. Concepcion
1 : 0
U. De Concepcion
04 Aug
U. De Concepcion
1 : 3
Curico Unido
01 Aug
U. De Concepcion
0 : 1
A. Italiano
05 Jul
U. De Concepcion
2 : 0
Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 18 15 0 3 38:17 45
2 U. De Chile 18 9 6 3 23:12 33
3 U. Catolica 18 9 3 6 40:26 30
4 Palestino 18 8 3 7 26:26 27
5 Everton 18 7 5 6 27:21 26
6 Nublense 17 6 8 3 22:21 26
7 Coquimbo 17 7 4 6 24:21 25
8 Limache 17 7 3 7 34:27 24
9 Huachipato 18 7 3 8 27:31 24
10 La Serena 19 5 8 6 28:31 23
11 D. Concepcion 18 7 2 9 20:23 23
12 O Higgins 18 7 2 9 22:28 23
13 A. Italiano 18 5 5 8 22:25 20
14 U. De Concepcion 18 5 4 9 13:30 19
15 Cobresal 18 5 2 11 26:34 17
16 Union La Calera 18 3 4 11 16:35 13
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)