Sport Picks
Everton vs U. De Concepcion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Chile
Liga de Primera Estadio Sausalito, Vina del Mar 
Match Events
3'
3'
Medina A.
Assist: Montiel N.
10'
10'
Rojas L.
23'
23'
Montiel N.
Assist: Ramos Aviles E. M.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Primera game between Everton and U. De Concepcion finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Everton.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Everton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Everton carry the better recent record into this one.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Everton taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Everton have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Everton Clean Sheet 20%
U. De Concepcion Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Everton | U. De Concepcion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 24, 2026 Liga de Primera
Everton vs U. De Concepcion
3:1
Mar 1, 2026 Liga de Primera
U. De Concepcion vs Everton
0:3
Dec 28, 2020 Liga de Primera
U. De Concepcion vs Everton
0:0
Jan 24, 2020 Liga de Primera
Everton vs U. De Concepcion
2:1
Sep 27, 2019 Liga de Primera
Everton vs U. De Concepcion
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Everton Compare
Top Goalscorer Medina A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Montiel N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
U. De Concepcion Compare
Top Goalscorer Rojas L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Everton 85 / 100
U. De Concepcion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Everton U. De Concepcion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Everton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Everton scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
U. De Concepcion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Everton went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Everton VS U. De Concepcion
2.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Everton
(Home) 11 Oct
Everton
3 : 2 La Serena
27 Sept
U. De Chile
1 : 1 Everton
27 Sept
Everton
0 : 1 U. De Chile
12 Sept
Nublense
1 : 3 Everton
05 Sept
Everton
0 : 1 U. Catolica
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Everton
3 : 2 La Serena
27 Sept
Everton
0 : 1 U. De Chile
05 Sept
Everton
0 : 1 U. Catolica
24 Aug
Everton
3 : 1 U. De Concepcion
16 Aug
Everton
1 : 1 A. Italiano
Page 1 of 4
U. De Concepcion
(Away) 10 Oct
Cobresal
1 : 1 U. De Concepcion
02 Oct
U. De Concepcion
0 : 2 Huachipato
06 Sept
Palestino
2 : 1 U. De Concepcion
02 Sept
Coquimbo
1 : 0 U. De Concepcion
30 Aug
U. De Concepcion
2 : 1 U. De Chile
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Cobresal
1 : 1 U. De Concepcion
06 Sept
Palestino
2 : 1 U. De Concepcion
02 Sept
Coquimbo
1 : 0 U. De Concepcion
24 Aug
Everton
3 : 1 U. De Concepcion
09 Aug
D. Concepcion
1 : 0 U. De Concepcion
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 50:27 | 54 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 41:19 | 45 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 50:33 | 42 |
| 4 | Everton | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 40:27 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 38:35 | 37 |
| 6 | Limache | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 45:37 | 34 |
| 7 | Huachipato | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 34:39 | 34 |
| 8 | Coquimbo | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36:34 | 32 |
| 9 | D. Concepcion | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 26:27 | 32 |
| 10 | Nublense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:37 | 32 |
| 11 | La Serena | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 36:41 | 30 |
| 12 | A. Italiano | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26:31 | 28 |
| 13 | O Higgins | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 28:38 | 27 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 35:45 | 25 |
| 15 | U. De Concepcion | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 18:40 | 23 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20:41 | 18 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)
