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Everton W vs Aston Villa W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

WSL Goodison Park, Liverpool
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Everton W host Aston Villa W in the WSL. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Aston Villa W have shipped 2.28 goals a game lately, while Everton W have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.32. Head-to-head, Everton W have won 2 to Aston Villa W's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 0.88) point toward Everton W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Everton W
20%
Draws
32%
Aston Villa W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Everton W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Everton W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Everton W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular WSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Everton W Clean Sheet 20%
Aston Villa W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Everton W Aston Villa W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 1 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.32 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 WSL
Everton W vs Aston Villa W
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 WSL
Aston Villa W vs Everton W
3:3
Mar 2, 2025 WSL
Aston Villa W vs Everton W
0:2
Jan 18, 2025 WSL
Everton W vs Aston Villa W
1:1
Sep 8, 2024 Club Friendly Women
Everton W vs Aston Villa W
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Everton W 40 / 100
Aston Villa W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Everton W Aston Villa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Everton W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Everton W's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aston Villa W conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Everton W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Everton W VS Aston Villa W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Everton W

(Home)
04 Oct
Everton W
2 : 1
Birmingham W
27 Sept
Liverpool W
2 : 0
Everton W
23 Sept
Everton W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
20 Sept
West Ham W
0 : 1
Everton W
13 Sept
Everton W
1 : 0
Charlton W
Page 1 of 6

Aston Villa W

(Away)
04 Oct
Aston Villa W
1 : 1
Crystal Palace W
30 Sept
Aston Villa W
3 : 1
Newcastle Utd W
27 Sept
Tottenham W
4 : 0
Aston Villa W
23 Sept
Nottingham W
0 : 2
Aston Villa W
20 Sept
Brighton W
1 : 1
Aston Villa W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 5 5 0 0 16:6 15
2 Chelsea W 5 4 1 0 12:1 13
3 London City Lionesses W 5 4 0 1 15:5 12
4 Tottenham W 5 3 1 1 16:8 10
5 Everton W 5 3 0 2 4:4 9
6 Liverpool W 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
7 Manchester United W 5 2 1 2 5:9 7
8 Crystal Palace W 5 1 3 1 5:11 6
9 Brighton W 5 1 2 2 8:7 5
10 Arsenal W 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
11 West Ham W 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
12 Aston Villa W 5 0 3 2 4:11 3
13 Birmingham W 5 0 2 3 7:12 2
14 Charlton W 5 0 0 5 2:15 0
Relegation - WSL (Relegation)
Relegation - WSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)