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Everton W vs Birmingham W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

WSL Goodison Park, Liverpool
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Mace R.
Assist: Momiki Y.
15' Event
Hurtre O.
Assist: Effa Effa C.
31'
Sub
Kramzar Z. In: McNamara H.
Out: Kramzar Z.

AI Match Summary

The WSL game between Everton W and Birmingham W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Everton W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Everton W
15%
Draws
7%
Birmingham W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Everton W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Everton W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Everton W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Everton W Clean Sheet 20%
Birmingham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Everton W Birmingham W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 14
Draws 1 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.32 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 WSL
Everton W vs Birmingham W
2:1
Sep 23, 2026 Women's League Cup
Everton W vs Birmingham W
2:0
Jan 29, 2023 Women’s FA Cup
Everton W vs Birmingham W
0:1
Apr 1, 2022 WSL
Birmingham W vs Everton W
0:0
Sep 25, 2021 WSL
Everton W vs Birmingham W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Everton W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mace R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Birmingham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hurtre O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Everton W 76 / 100
Birmingham W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Everton W Birmingham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Everton W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Everton W scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Birmingham W let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Everton W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Everton W VS Birmingham W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
25% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Everton W

(Home)
04 Oct
Everton W
2 : 1
Birmingham W
27 Sept
Liverpool W
2 : 0
Everton W
23 Sept
Everton W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
20 Sept
West Ham W
0 : 1
Everton W
13 Sept
Everton W
1 : 0
Charlton W
Page 1 of 6

Birmingham W

(Away)
04 Oct
Everton W
2 : 1
Birmingham W
30 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 4
Liverpool W
27 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 3
Crystal Palace W
23 Sept
Everton W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
19 Sept
Chelsea W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 5 5 0 0 16:6 15
2 Chelsea W 5 4 1 0 12:1 13
3 London City Lionesses W 5 4 0 1 15:5 12
4 Tottenham W 5 3 1 1 16:8 10
5 Everton W 5 3 0 2 4:4 9
6 Liverpool W 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
7 Manchester United W 5 2 1 2 5:9 7
8 Crystal Palace W 5 1 3 1 5:11 6
9 Brighton W 5 1 2 2 8:7 5
10 Arsenal W 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
11 West Ham W 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
12 Aston Villa W 5 0 3 2 4:11 3
13 Birmingham W 5 0 2 3 7:12 2
14 Charlton W 5 0 0 5 2:15 0
Relegation - WSL (Relegation)
Relegation - WSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)