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Evesham vs Bath City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Evesham host Bath City in the Southern League Premier South. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Evesham at 1.33 goals for, 1.7 against; Bath City at 1.3 for, 1.7 against. Head-to-head, Evesham have won 0 to Bath City's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 16, 2022, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.31) point toward Evesham. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Evesham
15%
Draws
57%
Bath City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bath City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Evesham lately — more wins on the board than Bath City.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Bath City have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Evesham Clean Sheet 18%
Bath City Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Evesham Bath City
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Evesham vs Bath City
1:1
Apr 15, 2006 Southern Premier League
Evesham vs Bath City
1:2
Jan 2, 2006 Southern Premier League
Bath City vs Evesham
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Evesham 32 / 100
Bath City 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Evesham Bath City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bath City has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Evesham found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Evesham went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Evesham VS Bath City
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Evesham

(Home)
10 Oct
Uxbridge
1 : 0
Evesham
03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1
Evesham
29 Sept
Evesham
2 : 0
Chippenham Town
26 Sept
Evesham
3 : 1
Stratford
19 Sept
Redditch
3 : 0
Evesham
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Bath City

(Away)
10 Oct
Bath City
1 : 2
Gosport Borough
29 Sept
Bath City
2 : 1
Malvern Town
26 Sept
Plymouth Parkway
0 : 3
Bath City
22 Sept
Taunton Town
1 : 3
Bath City
12 Sept
Bath City
2 : 0
Chippenham Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 11 8 0 3 18:12 24
2 Uxbridge 10 7 2 1 20:8 23
3 Plymouth Parkway 10 6 2 2 24:11 20
4 Hanworth Villa 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
5 Bath City 10 5 2 3 14:10 17
6 Frome Town 11 4 4 3 18:14 16
7 Chichester City 10 5 1 4 17:17 16
8 Berkhamsted Town 11 5 1 5 14:14 16
9 Wimborne 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
10 Chertsey Town 10 4 3 3 22:17 15
11 Gosport Borough 11 4 3 4 15:14 15
12 Taunton Town 10 4 1 5 24:24 13
13 Evesham 10 4 1 5 14:18 13
14 Basingstoke 10 3 3 4 18:17 12
15 Yate 10 3 3 4 13:21 12
16 Sholing 9 3 2 4 10:13 11
17 Bracknell Town 10 3 2 5 11:19 11
18 Hanwell Town 9 2 4 3 9:11 10
19 Gloucester City 10 2 4 4 15:18 10
20 Chippenham Town 9 2 2 5 9:18 8
21 Havant & Waterlooville 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
22 Malvern Town 10 1 2 7 14:29 5
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