Sport Picks
Evesham vs Plymouth Parkway - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier South 
Match Events
27'
27'
Sullivan J.
53'
53'
Neal A.
62'
62'
Bojang J.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier South game between Evesham and Plymouth Parkway finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plymouth Parkway.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Plymouth Parkway
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Evesham haven't matched Plymouth Parkway's recent run of results.
- 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Plymouth Parkway here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Evesham Clean Sheet 19%
Plymouth Parkway Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Evesham | Plymouth Parkway |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 26 |
| Wins | 10 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 2.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Evesham vs Plymouth Parkway
1:3
Mar 21, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Evesham vs Plymouth Parkway
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Plymouth Parkway vs Evesham
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Evesham Compare
Top Goalscorer Bojang J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Plymouth Parkway Compare
Top Goalscorer Neal A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Sullivan J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Evesham 31 / 100
Plymouth Parkway 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Evesham Plymouth Parkway
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Evesham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Evesham scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.
Defensive concern: Plymouth Parkway conceded in 69% of 26 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.
Solid form: Evesham remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Evesham VS Plymouth Parkway
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Evesham
(Home) 03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1 Evesham
29 Sept
Evesham
2 : 0 Chippenham Town
26 Sept
Evesham
3 : 1 Stratford
19 Sept
Redditch
3 : 0 Evesham
12 Sept
Evesham
0 : 0 Berkhamsted Town
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Evesham
2 : 0 Chippenham Town
26 Sept
Evesham
3 : 1 Stratford
12 Sept
Evesham
0 : 0 Berkhamsted Town
29 Aug
Evesham
1 : 3 Plymouth Parkway
15 Aug
Evesham
3 : 0 Chichester City
Page 1 of 3
Plymouth Parkway
(Away) 03 Oct
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 1 Horsham FC
29 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1 Plymouth Parkway
26 Sept
Plymouth Parkway
0 : 3 Bath City
22 Sept
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0 Frome Town
19 Sept
Frome Town
0 : 2 Plymouth Parkway
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1 Plymouth Parkway
19 Sept
Frome Town
0 : 2 Plymouth Parkway
12 Sept
Sholing
1 : 3 Plymouth Parkway
05 Sept
Gosport Borough
1 : 3 Plymouth Parkway
29 Aug
Evesham
1 : 3 Plymouth Parkway
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17:12 | 21 |
| 2 | Plymouth Parkway | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 19 |
| 5 | Bath City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Frome Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Taunton Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:22 | 13 |
| 9 | Chichester City | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 10 | Evesham | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Berkhamsted Town | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Wimborne | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 13 | Gosport Borough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Yate | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Bracknell Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:18 | 11 |
| 16 | Sholing | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 18 | Hanwell Town | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 20 | Chippenham Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 21 | Havant & Waterlooville | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:16 | 5 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13:25 | 5 |
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