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Evesham vs Walton & Hersham

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Wood J.
23' Event
Wright A.
38' Event
Dunbar E.

AI Match Summary

Evesham in this Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Evesham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Evesham
20%
Draws
23%
Walton & Hersham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Evesham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Walton & Hersham have won more games recently than Evesham.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Evesham taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Evesham Clean Sheet 17%
Walton & Hersham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Evesham Walton & Hersham
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 16
Draws 10 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Evesham vs Walton & Hersham
3:1
Sep 6, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Walton & Hersham vs Evesham
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Evesham Compare

Top Goalscorer Wright A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dunbar E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Walton & Hersham Compare

Top Goalscorer Wood J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Evesham 75 / 100
Walton & Hersham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Evesham Walton & Hersham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EVE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Evesham found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Walton & Hersham has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Evesham went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Evesham VS Walton & Hersham
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Evesham

(Home)
08 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 4
Evesham
31 Jul
Evesham
1 : 1
Bishops Cleeve
18 Jul
Evesham
0 : 3
Cheltenham
14 Jul
Evesham
1 : 0
Worcester
11 Jul
Evesham
2 : 0
Caerau Ely
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Walton & Hersham

(Away)
08 Aug
Folkestone
5 : 1
Walton & Hersham
25 Jul
Oxford City
1 : 2
Walton & Hersham
21 Jul
Sutton
1 : 1
Walton & Hersham
18 Jul
Bedford
2 : 0
Walton & Hersham
11 Jul
Tamworth
2 : 1
Walton & Hersham
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)