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Evesham vs Worcester - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Churchley K.

AI Match Summary

Evesham in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Evesham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Evesham
30%
Draws
37%
Worcester
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Worcester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Evesham lately — more wins on the board than Worcester.
  • Win probability leans Evesham's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Evesham have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Evesham Clean Sheet 20%
Worcester Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Evesham Worcester
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.29 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Evesham vs Worcester
1:0
Jul 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Evesham vs Worcester
3:0
Jul 25, 2014 Club Friendly
Evesham vs Worcester
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Evesham Compare

Top Goalscorer Churchley K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Worcester Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Evesham 36 / 100
Worcester 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Evesham Worcester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Evesham scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Worcester conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Evesham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Evesham VS Worcester
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Evesham

(Home)
03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1
Evesham
29 Sept
Evesham
2 : 0
Chippenham Town
26 Sept
Evesham
3 : 1
Stratford
19 Sept
Redditch
3 : 0
Evesham
12 Sept
Evesham
0 : 0
Berkhamsted Town
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Worcester

(Away)
03 Oct
Kettering
1 : 3
Worcester
29 Sept
Racing Club Warwick
2 : 2
Worcester
26 Sept
Worcester
0 : 2
Leek Town
22 Sept
Worcester
0 : 0
Banbury
18 Sept
Worcester
2 : 1
Stratford
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