Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie game between EVV and Dongen finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dongen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: EVV
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Dongen carry the better recent record into this one.
- EVV are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
EVV Clean Sheet 10%
Dongen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | EVV | Dongen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.29 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Derde Divisie
EVV vs Dongen
2:3
Jun 6, 2022 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs EVV
0:2
Sep 26, 2021 Derde Divisie
EVV vs Dongen
1:1
Mar 21, 2021 Derde Divisie
EVV vs Dongen
0:0
Nov 29, 2020 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs EVV
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
EVV 38 / 100
Dongen 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
EVV Dongen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EVV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dongen has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Attacking prowess: EVV scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
EVV went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
EVV VS Dongen
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
EVV
(Home) 10 Oct
Achilles Veen
1 : 0 EVV
03 Oct
EVV
0 : 2 VV Noordwijk
26 Sept
Lisse
1 : 1 EVV
22 Sept
EVV
3 : 1 RKSV Halsteren
19 Sept
EVV
1 : 1 Groene Ster
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
EVV
0 : 2 VV Noordwijk
22 Sept
EVV
3 : 1 RKSV Halsteren
19 Sept
EVV
1 : 1 Groene Ster
05 Sept
EVV
0 : 1 SV Poortugaal
23 Aug
EVV
2 : 3 Dongen
Page 1 of 3
Dongen
(Away) 11 Oct
RKSV UDI 19
4 : 0 Dongen
03 Oct
Dongen
4 : 0 SV Poortugaal
27 Sept
UNA
2 : 2 Dongen
20 Sept
Blauw Geel
3 : 1 Dongen
13 Sept
Dongen
2 : 3 GOES
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
RKSV UDI 19
4 : 0 Dongen
27 Sept
UNA
2 : 2 Dongen
20 Sept
Blauw Geel
3 : 1 Dongen
05 Sept
Rijnvogels
5 : 2 Dongen
23 Aug
EVV
2 : 3 Dongen
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Scherpenzeel | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 2 | Genemuiden | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22:10 | 21 |
| 3 | ACV Assen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Harkemase Boys | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Excelsior 31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:9 | 19 |
| 6 | TEC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 28:16 | 19 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:13 | 16 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22:18 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:19 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:19 | 13 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12:20 | 10 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | 6 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:20 | 6 |
| 15 | VV DOVO | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11:28 | 4 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15:27 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9:27 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Noordwijk | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:2 | 22 |
| 2 | Lisse | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 22 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:7 | 20 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 6 | VV Zwaluwen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 16 |
| 7 | GOES | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:19 | 14 |
| 8 | Dongen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 21:21 | 13 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 10 | SV Poortugaal | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Gemert | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 12 | Roosendaal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15:20 | 9 |
| 13 | Groene Ster | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 14 | UNA | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 15 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:21 | 8 |
| 16 | VVSB | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | 7 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:20 | 6 |
| 18 | EVV | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
