Sport Picks

Stadium Background

EVV vs Dongen

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sun, Aug 23, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EVV host Dongen in the Derde Divisie. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Dongen have shipped 1.71 goals a game lately, while EVV have conceded 2.43 and scored 1.36. Head-to-head, EVV have won 2 to Dongen's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Jun 6, 2022, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.25 - 1.38) back Dongen to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
EVV
30%
Draws
47%
Dongen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dongen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Dongen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Dongen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
EVV Clean Sheet 17%
Dongen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EVV Dongen
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.36 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2022 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs EVV
0:2
Sep 26, 2021 Derde Divisie
EVV vs Dongen
1:1
Mar 21, 2021 Derde Divisie
EVV vs Dongen
0:0
Nov 29, 2020 Derde Divisie
Dongen vs EVV
0:0
Jan 19, 2020 Derde Divisie
EVV vs Dongen
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EVV 10 / 100
Dongen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EVV Dongen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dongen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dongen has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Attacking prowess: EVV scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

EVV has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

EVV VS Dongen
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

EVV

(Home)
16 Aug
GOES
3 : 2
EVV
08 Aug
IJsselmeervogels
10 : 3
EVV
21 Jul
EVV
2 : 2
Maastricht
06 Jun
EVV
1 : 1
SteDoCo
03 Jun
SteDoCo
0 : 1
EVV
Page 1 of 6

Dongen

(Away)
15 Aug
Dongen
4 : 0
VV Zwaluwen
06 Jun
VV Heerjansdam
1 : 2
Dongen
03 Jun
Dongen
1 : 1
VV Heerjansdam
30 May
SVV Scheveningen
0 : 2
Dongen
27 May
Dongen
0 : 1
SVV Scheveningen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 ADO 20 Heemskerk 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Purmersteijn 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 VV Hoogeveen 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
5 Harkemase Boys 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Genemuiden 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 ACV Assen 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Sparta Nijkerk 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
9 Sportlust 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
10 VV DOVO 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
11 Staphorst 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
12 SVZW Wierden 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
13 HVV Hollandia 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 DVS '33 Ermelo 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
15 TEC 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16 USV Hercules 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
17 VV Scherpenzeel 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
18 Eemdijk 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dongen 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Lisse 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Roosendaal 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 VV Noordwijk 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
5 GOES 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
6 VVSB 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Gemert 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
8 Rijnvogels 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
9 UNA 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Excelsior Maassluis 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 RKSV UDI 19 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 TOGB 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13 EVV 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
14 SV Poortugaal 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Groene Ster 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
16 Blauw Geel 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
17 Achilles Veen 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
18 VV Zwaluwen 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)