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EVV vs SV Poortugaal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie game between EVV and SV Poortugaal finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SV Poortugaal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
EVV
20%
Draws
44%
SV Poortugaal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SV Poortugaal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • EVV carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives EVV a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
EVV Clean Sheet 16%
SV Poortugaal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EVV SV Poortugaal
Matches Played 27 18
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 2
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.22 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Derde Divisie
EVV vs SV Poortugaal
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EVV 39 / 100
SV Poortugaal 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EVV SV Poortugaal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EVV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SV Poortugaal has conceded goals in 89% of their last 18 outings.

Attacking prowess: EVV scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: EVV remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

SV Poortugaal lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EVV VS SV Poortugaal
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

EVV

(Home)
18 Oct
EVV
3 : 3
Roosendaal
10 Oct
Achilles Veen
1 : 0
EVV
03 Oct
EVV
0 : 2
VV Noordwijk
26 Sept
Lisse
1 : 1
EVV
22 Sept
EVV
3 : 1
RKSV Halsteren
Page 1 of 6

SV Poortugaal

(Away)
17 Oct
Blauw Geel
1 : 3
SV Poortugaal
10 Oct
SV Poortugaal
1 : 0
UNA
03 Oct
Dongen
4 : 0
SV Poortugaal
26 Sept
SV Poortugaal
0 : 3
GOES
19 Sept
Rijnvogels
1 : 0
SV Poortugaal
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 10 7 2 1 26:10 23
2 VV Scherpenzeel 10 7 2 1 18:10 23
3 Harkemase Boys 10 7 2 1 20:14 23
4 Excelsior 31 10 7 1 2 28:9 22
5 Genemuiden 10 7 0 3 22:15 21
6 TEC 10 6 2 2 29:17 20
7 Sportlust 11 5 4 2 19:17 19
8 Purmersteijn 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
9 Sparta Nijkerk 10 4 2 4 22:21 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 10 4 1 5 24:23 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 USV Hercules 10 3 1 6 12:22 10
13 Eemdijk 10 3 1 6 16:29 10
14 Staphorst 10 2 3 5 16:21 9
15 DVS '33 Ermelo 10 1 3 6 13:19 6
16 VV DOVO 10 1 2 7 12:25 5
17 HVV Hollandia 9 1 1 7 16:27 4
18 SVZW Wierden 10 0 1 9 9:28 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 10 8 1 1 22:2 25
2 Lisse 10 8 1 1 22:8 25
3 Excelsior Maassluis 10 7 2 1 21:7 23
4 Rijnvogels 10 6 2 2 25:12 20
5 RKSV UDI 19 10 6 2 2 20:9 20
6 Dongen 10 5 1 4 24:21 16
7 VV Zwaluwen 10 5 1 4 11:14 16
8 SV Poortugaal 10 5 0 5 12:14 15
9 GOES 10 4 2 4 19:25 14
10 Gemert 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Blauw Geel 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
12 Roosendaal 10 3 1 6 18:23 10
13 TOGB 10 2 3 5 16:24 9
14 Groene Ster 10 2 3 5 14:24 9
15 UNA 10 1 5 4 12:16 8
16 VVSB 10 2 2 6 13:21 8
17 Achilles Veen 10 2 0 8 8:22 6
18 EVV 10 0 3 7 11:23 3
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)