Sport Picks

Stadium Background

EVV vs SV Poortugaal

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie game between EVV and SV Poortugaal finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SV Poortugaal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
EVV
15%
Draws
64%
SV Poortugaal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SV Poortugaal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • EVV carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives SV Poortugaal a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
EVV Clean Sheet 10%
SV Poortugaal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EVV SV Poortugaal
Matches Played 28 12
Wins 8 4
Draws 3 2
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.39 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.43 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Derde Divisie
EVV vs SV Poortugaal
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EVV 22 / 100
SV Poortugaal 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EVV SV Poortugaal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SV Poortugaal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SV Poortugaal has conceded goals in 92% of their last 12 outings.

Attacking prowess: EVV scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

EVV went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EVV VS SV Poortugaal
2 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

EVV

(Home)
05 Sept
EVV
0 : 1
SV Poortugaal
02 Sept
USV Hercules
1 : 3
EVV
30 Aug
UNA
4 : 1
EVV
23 Aug
EVV
2 : 3
Dongen
16 Aug
GOES
3 : 2
EVV
Page 1 of 6

SV Poortugaal

(Away)
05 Sept
EVV
0 : 1
SV Poortugaal
01 Sept
Achilles Veen
4 : 2
SV Poortugaal
29 Aug
SV Poortugaal
3 : 1
VV Zwaluwen
22 Aug
TOGB
1 : 3
SV Poortugaal
15 Aug
SV Poortugaal
0 : 1
VVSB
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Genemuiden 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
2 Harkemase Boys 4 4 0 0 10:5 12
3 ACV Assen 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
4 Excelsior 31 4 3 0 1 13:5 9
5 VV Scherpenzeel 4 3 0 1 9:7 9
6 Purmersteijn 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
7 ADO 20 Heemskerk 4 2 1 1 10:9 7
8 Sportlust 4 1 3 0 8:7 6
9 Sparta Nijkerk 4 1 2 1 12:12 5
10 VV DOVO 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
11 VV Hoogeveen 4 1 1 2 8:10 4
12 TEC 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
13 Eemdijk 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
14 Staphorst 4 0 2 2 5:8 2
15 HVV Hollandia 3 0 1 2 6:9 1
16 DVS '33 Ermelo 4 0 1 3 3:7 1
17 SVZW Wierden 4 0 1 3 8:15 1
18 USV Hercules 4 0 0 4 4:15 0
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lisse 4 4 0 0 8:2 12
2 VV Noordwijk 4 3 1 0 7:0 10
3 SV Poortugaal 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
4 Dongen 4 3 0 1 12:9 9
5 Rijnvogels 4 2 2 0 11:5 8
6 RKSV UDI 19 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
7 Roosendaal 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
8 UNA 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
9 Excelsior Maassluis 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
10 GOES 3 1 1 1 6:8 4
11 VVSB 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
12 VV Zwaluwen 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
13 Achilles Veen 4 1 0 3 4:13 3
14 Gemert 3 0 2 1 6:7 2
15 TOGB 4 0 2 2 6:9 2
16 Groene Ster 4 0 2 2 8:12 2
17 Blauw Geel 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
18 EVV 4 0 0 4 5:11 0
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)