Sport Picks
Excelsior 31 vs Eemdijk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie game between Excelsior 31 and Eemdijk finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excelsior 31.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior 31
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Eemdijk haven't matched Excelsior 31's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Excelsior 31's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 16%
Eemdijk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excelsior 31 | Eemdijk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.14 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs Eemdijk
4:0
Feb 21, 2026 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs Excelsior 31
2:2
Sep 23, 2025 KNVB Beker
Eemdijk vs Excelsior 31
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs Eemdijk
0:3
Jan 25, 2025 Derde Divisie
Eemdijk vs Excelsior 31
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Excelsior 31 84 / 100
Eemdijk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Excelsior 31 Eemdijk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excelsior 31 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Excelsior 31 scored in 89% of their last 28 games.
Eemdijk let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Excelsior 31 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Excelsior 31 VS Eemdijk
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Excelsior 31
(Home) 17 Oct
Excelsior 31
5 : 0 Genemuiden
10 Oct
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3 Excelsior 31
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0 VV DOVO
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3 Alkmaarse FC 1934
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Excelsior 31
5 : 0 Genemuiden
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0 VV DOVO
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3 Alkmaarse FC 1934
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
29 Aug
Excelsior 31
4 : 0 SVZW Wierden
Page 1 of 3
Eemdijk
(Away) 17 Oct
Eemdijk
2 : 0 USV Hercules
10 Oct
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2 Eemdijk
26 Sept
TEC
7 : 2 Eemdijk
22 Sept
Eemdijk
2 : 1 Roosendaal
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4 Sparta Nijkerk
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10 Oct
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2 Eemdijk
26 Sept
TEC
7 : 2 Eemdijk
12 Sept
ACV Assen
5 : 1 Eemdijk
01 Sept
Elinkwijk
0 : 3 Eemdijk
29 Aug
Genemuiden
3 : 1 Eemdijk
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACV Assen | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26:10 | 23 |
| 2 | VV Scherpenzeel | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Harkemase Boys | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Excelsior 31 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:9 | 22 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22:15 | 21 |
| 6 | TEC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 29:17 | 20 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:14 | 19 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:12 | 18 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 22:21 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 24:23 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:21 | 13 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12:22 | 10 |
| 13 | Staphorst | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | 9 |
| 14 | Eemdijk | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13:28 | 7 |
| 15 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | 6 |
| 16 | VV DOVO | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:25 | 5 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16:27 | 4 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9:28 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Noordwijk | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22:2 | 25 |
| 2 | Lisse | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | 25 |
| 3 | Excelsior Maassluis | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:7 | 23 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25:12 | 20 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20:9 | 20 |
| 6 | Dongen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24:21 | 16 |
| 7 | VV Zwaluwen | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | 16 |
| 8 | SV Poortugaal | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 12:14 | 15 |
| 9 | GOES | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:25 | 14 |
| 10 | Gemert | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Blauw Geel | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 12 | Roosendaal | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:23 | 10 |
| 13 | TOGB | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:24 | 9 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:24 | 9 |
| 15 | UNA | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 16 | VVSB | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:21 | 8 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8:22 | 6 |
| 18 | EVV | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11:23 | 3 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
