Sport Picks
Match Events
22'
22'
Assendelft Y.
32'
32'
Seppenwoolde S.
45'
45'
Beverdam S.
AI Match Summary
Excelsior 31 in this Derde Divisie 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior 31.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excelsior 31
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Excelsior 31 lately — more wins on the board than HBC.
- Excelsior 31 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 20%
HBC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excelsior 31 | HBC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 1 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 2.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs HBC
4:2
Oct 5, 2024 Derde Divisie
HBC vs Excelsior 31
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Excelsior 31 Compare
Top Goalscorer Seppenwoolde S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Beverdam S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
HBC Compare
Top Goalscorer Assendelft Y.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Excelsior 31 85 / 100
HBC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Excelsior 31 HBC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excelsior 31 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Excelsior 31 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
HBC has conceded goals in 100% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Excelsior 31 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Excelsior 31 VS HBC
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Excelsior 31
(Home) 26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0 VV DOVO
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3 Alkmaarse FC 1934
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2 Excelsior 31
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
05 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0 VV DOVO
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3 Alkmaarse FC 1934
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
29 Aug
Excelsior 31
4 : 0 SVZW Wierden
15 Aug
Excelsior 31
4 : 0 Eemdijk
Page 1 of 4
HBC
(Away) 07 Jun
HVV Hollandia
2 : 0 HBC
03 Jun
HBC
0 : 1 HVV Hollandia
30 May
Flevo Boys
1 : 1 HBC
27 May
HBC
3 : 1 Flevo Boys
24 May
HBC
0 : 2 Huizen
Page 1 of 6
07 Jun
HVV Hollandia
2 : 0 HBC
30 May
Flevo Boys
1 : 1 HBC
17 May
USV Hercules
2 : 0 HBC
03 May
Eemdijk
2 : 2 HBC
12 Apr
Ajax (Am)
1 : 0 HBC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 98:35 | 82 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 74:46 | 70 |
| 3 | Sportlust | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 78:37 | 67 |
| 4 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 78:52 | 65 |
| 5 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 68:50 | 58 |
| 6 | USV Hercules | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 65:56 | 54 |
| 7 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Genemuiden | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Urk | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 56:67 | 47 |
| 10 | Eemdijk | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 64:66 | 43 |
| 11 | TEC | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:56 | 42 |
| 12 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 63:68 | 40 |
| 13 | HSC '21 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 50:66 | 40 |
| 14 | Huizen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 44:62 | 36 |
| 15 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 46:71 | 36 |
| 16 | Ajax (Am) | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 48:64 | 35 |
| 17 | DEM | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 43:85 | 30 |
| 18 | HBC | 34 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40:92 | 10 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 77:33 | 70 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 72:29 | 64 |
| 3 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 73:45 | 64 |
| 4 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:42 | 61 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:50 | 58 |
| 6 | Lisse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55:41 | 54 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:48 | 53 |
| 8 | VVSB | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:61 | 51 |
| 9 | SteDoCo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 57:46 | 48 |
| 10 | Meerssen | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:50 | 45 |
| 11 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 63:72 | 45 |
| 12 | ASWH | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 59:73 | 42 |
| 13 | TOGB | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 55:53 | 41 |
| 14 | GOES | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 53:65 | 39 |
| 15 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:58 | 39 |
| 16 | FC 's-Gravenzande | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 51:69 | 34 |
| 17 | Smitshoek | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 53:94 | 25 |
| 18 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 42:105 | 19 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
