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Excelsior 31 vs Rohda Raalte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Excelsior 31
20%
Draws
19%
Rohda Raalte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excelsior 31

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Rohda Raalte haven't matched Excelsior 31's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Excelsior 31 a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 18%
Rohda Raalte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior 31 Rohda Raalte
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs Rohda Raalte
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
Rohda Raalte vs Excelsior 31
4:1
Feb 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
Rohda Raalte vs Excelsior 31
2:2
Sep 28, 2024 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs Rohda Raalte
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 31 85 / 100
Rohda Raalte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior 31 Rohda Raalte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior 31 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior 31's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Rohda Raalte let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Excelsior 31 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior 31 VS Rohda Raalte
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior 31

(Home)
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3
Excelsior 31
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0
VV DOVO
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3
Alkmaarse FC 1934
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2
Excelsior 31
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1
Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 6

Rohda Raalte

(Away)
03 Oct
Rohda Raalte
1 : 3
GVVV
26 Sept
VV Kloetinge
3 : 3
Rohda Raalte
23 Sept
TOGB
4 : 6
Rohda Raalte
19 Sept
Rohda Raalte
0 : 1
IJsselmeervogels
12 Sept
Quick Boys
3 : 1
Rohda Raalte
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)