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Stadium Background

Excelsior 31 vs VVOG

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2022/2023
Excelsior 31 Logo

Excelsior 31

2 - 1
FT
VVOG Logo

VVOG

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Hemmink R.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Mbinga E.
72' Event
Hemmink R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Excelsior 31 in this Derde Divisie 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior 31.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Excelsior 31
15%
Draws
20%
VVOG
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior 31

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Excelsior 31 have won more games recently than VVOG.
  • Win probability leans Excelsior 31's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 18%
VVOG Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior 31 VVOG
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.9 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2023 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs VVOG
2:1
Sep 24, 2022 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs Excelsior 31
2:2
Apr 2, 2022 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs VVOG
2:1
Oct 2, 2021 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs Excelsior 31
2:1
Mar 27, 2021 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs Excelsior 31
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Excelsior 31 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hemmink R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

VVOG Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbinga E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 31 76 / 100
VVOG 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior 31 VVOG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior 31 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior 31 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

VVOG's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Excelsior 31 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior 31 VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior 31

(Home)
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3
Alkmaarse FC 1934
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2
Excelsior 31
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1
Purmersteijn
05 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
3 : 1
Excelsior 31
01 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 1
Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 6

VVOG

(Away)
02 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 1
VVOG
10 Aug
Eemdijk
2 : 4
VVOG
03 Aug
VVOG
0 : 3
ACV Assen
03 Jun
VVOG
2 : 4
Smitshoek
30 May
Smitshoek
1 : 0
VVOG
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 34 22 9 3 71:33 75
2 GVVV 34 21 6 7 77:40 69
3 SteDoCo 34 18 4 12 59:42 58
4 Rijnvogels 34 17 5 12 64:55 56
5 Barendrecht 34 18 5 11 71:54 55
6 Sportlust 34 15 8 11 52:50 53
7 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 15 7 12 54:43 52
8 Sparta Nijkerk 34 13 11 10 45:45 50
9 HSV Hoek 34 16 2 16 71:72 50
10 VV DOVO 34 15 3 16 51:56 48
11 Staphorst 34 12 9 13 38:41 45
12 Urk 34 13 3 18 62:76 42
13 Harkemase Boys 34 10 8 16 52:56 38
14 RKAV Volendam 34 9 9 16 52:72 36
15 VVOG 34 10 5 19 49:71 35
16 Excelsior 31 34 8 9 17 47:58 33
17 Ter Leede 34 8 9 17 50:65 33
18 ASWH 34 7 6 21 25:61 27
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 27 3 4 85:37 84
2 VVSB 34 22 5 7 87:52 71
3 USV Hercules 34 18 9 7 64:33 63
4 Blauw Geel 34 15 10 9 53:45 55
5 OJC Rosmalen 34 16 6 12 58:56 54
6 HSC '21 34 14 9 11 64:42 51
7 UNA 34 12 13 9 55:41 49
8 TOGB 34 13 10 11 68:56 49
9 HV & CV Quick 34 13 10 11 59:47 49
10 DEM 34 13 9 12 58:53 48
11 Gemert 34 14 5 15 52:59 47
12 GVV Unitas 34 13 6 15 43:59 45
13 Groene Ster 34 10 13 11 42:44 43
14 FC OSS '20 34 8 12 14 39:59 36
15 Watergraafsmeer 34 8 8 18 35:80 32
16 Baronie 34 8 4 22 44:70 28
17 Dongen 34 6 7 21 45:77 25
18 RKSV UDI 19 34 4 5 25 26:67 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)