Sport Picks

Netherlands

KNVB Beker 2025/2026 Sportpark Dijkpolder, Maassluis

Excelsior Maassluis

2 - 7

Ajax

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Wijndal O.

Assist: Godts M.

19'

Gaaei A.

Assist: Bounida R.

24'

Konadu D.

Assist: Bounida R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ajax in this KNVB Beker 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-7. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Excelsior Maassluis

30%

Draws

39%

Ajax

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ajax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence

Excelsior Maassluis haven't matched Ajax's recent run of results.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Ajax arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Ajax, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 52%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 11%

Ajax Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Excelsior Maassluis	Ajax
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	11	16
Draws	5	7
Losses	13	6
Goals Scored	1.41	2.1
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.21
Expected Goals (xG)	1.28	1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 17, 2025 KNVB Beker

Excelsior Maassluis vs Ajax

2:7

Jan 20, 2022 KNVB Beker

Ajax vs Excelsior Maassluis

9:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Excelsior Maassluis Compare

Top Goalscorer Plank D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Verbont J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.98

Avg xA / game 0.64

Ajax Compare

Top Goalscorer Mokio J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Wijndal O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior Maassluis 30 / 100

Ajax 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Excelsior Maassluis Ajax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 9.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Excelsior Maassluis scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Ajax conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Excelsior Maassluis has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior Maassluis VS Ajax

1.43 Goals Scored 2.75

0.86 Goals Conceded 1.13

57% Over 1.5 100%

43% Over 2.5 88%

29% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior Maassluis

(Home)

05 Sept

Excelsior Maassluis

0 : 0

VV Noordwijk

01 Sept

ADO 20 Heemskerk

1 : 2

Excelsior Maassluis

29 Aug

Lisse

1 : 0

Excelsior Maassluis

22 Aug

Excelsior Maassluis

3 : 1

Groene Ster

15 Aug

RKSV UDI 19

1 : 1

Excelsior Maassluis

Page 1 of 6

Ajax

(Away)

05 Sept

Ajax

1 : 3

PSV

30 Aug

Telstar

0 : 4

Ajax

27 Aug

Ajax

5 : 3

Sion

20 Aug

Sion

2 : 4

Ajax

16 Aug

Ajax

2 : 2

Heerenveen

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Helmond Sport -

TBD -

Zwolle -

TBD -

AZ Alkmaar -

Aalsmeer 2

HZVV Hoogeveen 4

TBD -

Excelsior Maassluis -

TBD -

Excelsior -

TBD -

Ajax -

Walcheren 1

VV Noordwijk 3

TBD -

Hardenberg -

TBD -

TOP Oss -

TBD -

Utrecht -

USV Hercules 4

GOES 0

TBD -

Spakenburg -

RKVV Erp 0

VV DOVO 4

TEC 3

SV Poortugaal 2

Rohda Raalte 4

HVV Hollandia 1

SteDoCo 0

DVS '33 Ermelo 2

TBD -

Twente -

SV Juliana 31 0

Meerssen 2

Gemert 2

Huizen 1

TBD -

Sittard -

Harkemase Boys 0

Sparta Nijkerk 1

VV Kloetinge 3

DVO 0

TBD -

Almere City -

HSV Hoek 6

Rijnvogels 4

Blauw Geel 2

VVOG 1

TBD -

Eindhoven FC -

Lisse 1

Westlandia 0

VV Zwaluwen 1

Urk 2

TBD -

Telstar -

VVSB 1

Capelle 2

SVV Scheveningen 2

Staphorst 0

TBD -

Roda -

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

NAC Breda -

TBD -

Heracles -

De Foresters 2

VV Scherpenzeel 3

VV Hoogeveen 6

Velocitas 1

TBD -

FC Emmen -

TOGB 1

RKSV UDI 19 3

Sportlust 4

Sportclub 25 1

Kozakken Boys 4

Kampong 0

TBD -

Barendrecht -

De Treffers -

TBD -

RKAV Volendam -

TBD -

Maastricht -

Eemdijk 4

Dongen 0

DZOH Emmen 2

Excelsior 31 5

TBD -

AFC -

Rijnsburgse Boys -

TBD -

Nijmegen -

Willem II -

TBD -

Dordrecht -

Sparta Rotterdam -

TBD -

Groningen -

Quick Boys -

TBD -

FC Volendam -

Heino 3

Groene Ster 4

IJsselmeervogels 0

Genemuiden 1

RKSV Halsteren 3

ACV Assen 1

AWC 0

ASWH 2

Den Bosch -

TBD -

Den Haag -

Katwijk -

TBD -

Vitesse -

PSV -

TBD -

ADO 20 Heemskerk 0

Roosendaal 2

TBD -

GVVV -

TBD -

De Graafschap -

Feyenoord -

TBD -

Venlo -

TBD -

Heerenveen -

Olde Veste 0

HSC '21 3

't Zand 4

Mierlo-Hout 2

Koninklijke HFC -

TBD -

UNA 1

ARC 2

Waalwijk -

TBD -

Cambuur -

1/64-finals

Helmond Sport -

TBD -

Zwolle -

TBD -

AZ Alkmaar -

HZVV Hoogeveen 1

Excelsior Maassluis 5

TBD -

Excelsior -

TBD -

Ajax -

VV Noordwijk 0

Hardenberg 2

TBD -

TOP Oss -

TBD -

Utrecht -

USV Hercules 1

Spakenburg 3

VV DOVO 1

TEC 0

Rohda Raalte 1

DVS '33 Ermelo 0

TBD -

Twente -

Meerssen 0

Gemert 1

TBD -

Sittard -

Sparta Nijkerk 4

VV Kloetinge 3

TBD -

Almere City -

HSV Hoek 1

Blauw Geel 0

TBD -

Eindhoven FC -

Lisse 4

Urk 1

TBD -

Telstar -

Capelle 5

SVV Scheveningen 1

TBD -

Roda -

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

NAC Breda -

TBD -

Heracles -

VV Scherpenzeel 3

VV Hoogeveen 4

TBD -

FC Emmen -

RKSV UDI 19 0

Sportlust 1

Kozakken Boys 2

Barendrecht 3

De Treffers 6

RKAV Volendam 3

TBD -

Maastricht -

Eemdijk 2

Excelsior 31 1

TBD -

AFC -

Rijnsburgse Boys -

TBD -

Nijmegen -

Willem II -

TBD -

Dordrecht -

Sparta Rotterdam -

TBD -

Groningen -

Quick Boys -

TBD -

FC Volendam -

Groene Ster 1

Genemuiden 2

RKSV Halsteren 3

ASWH 2

Den Bosch -

TBD -

Den Haag -

Katwijk -

TBD -

Vitesse -

PSV -

TBD -

Roosendaal 0

GVVV 1

TBD -

De Graafschap -

Feyenoord -

TBD -

Venlo -

TBD -

Heerenveen -

HSC '21 3

't Zand 1

Koninklijke HFC 5

ARC 0

Waalwijk -

TBD -

Cambuur -

1/32-finals

Helmond Sport 1

Zwolle 4

TBD -

AZ Alkmaar -

Excelsior Maassluis 1

Excelsior 0

TBD -

Ajax -

Hardenberg 0

TOP Oss 2

TBD -

Utrecht -

Spakenburg 5

VV DOVO 1

Rohda Raalte 1

Twente 4

Gemert 0

Sittard 1

Sparta Nijkerk 0

Almere City 2

HSV Hoek 3

Eindhoven FC 2

Lisse 0

Telstar 5

Capelle 1

Roda 5

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

NAC Breda 1

Heracles 4

VV Hoogeveen 1

FC Emmen 0

Sportlust 1

Barendrecht 0

De Treffers 3

Maastricht 1

Eemdijk 1

AFC 2

Rijnsburgse Boys 2

Nijmegen 3

Willem II 7

Dordrecht 0

Sparta Rotterdam 5

Groningen 2

Quick Boys 1

FC Volendam 2

Genemuiden 1

RKSV Halsteren 0

Den Bosch 4

Den Haag 3

Katwijk 2

Vitesse 1

PSV -

TBD -

GVVV 4

De Graafschap 2

Feyenoord -

TBD -

Venlo 0

Heerenveen 3

HSC '21 3

Koninklijke HFC 0

Waalwijk 3

Cambuur 2

1/16-finals

Zwolle 1

AZ Alkmaar 3

Excelsior Maassluis 2

Ajax 7

TOP Oss 0

Utrecht 2

Spakenburg 3

Twente 6

Sittard 2

Almere City 3

HSV Hoek 1

Telstar 4

Roda 1

G.A. Eagles 2

Heracles 4

VV Hoogeveen 1

Sportlust 0

De Treffers 1

AFC 1

Nijmegen 3

Willem II 1

Sparta Rotterdam 5

FC Volendam 2

Genemuiden 0

Den Bosch 2

Katwijk 1

PSV 3

GVVV 0

Feyenoord 2

Heerenveen 3

HSC '21 0

Waalwijk 9

1/8-finals

AZ Alkmaar 6

Ajax 0

Utrecht 1

Twente 2

Almere City 1

Telstar 3

G.A. Eagles 3

Heracles 2

De Treffers 1

Nijmegen 2

Sparta Rotterdam 1

FC Volendam 2

Den Bosch 1

PSV 4

Heerenveen 3

Waalwijk 1

Quarter-finals

AZ Alkmaar 2

Twente 1

Telstar 2

G.A. Eagles 1

Nijmegen 1

FC Volendam 0

PSV 4

Heerenveen 1

Semi-finals

AZ Alkmaar 2

Telstar 1

Nijmegen 3

PSV 2

Final

AZ Alkmaar 5

Nijmegen 1

Excelsior Maassluis vs Ajax

Netherlands

Excelsior Maassluis

Ajax

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Excelsior Maassluis Compare

Ajax Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior Maassluis

Ajax

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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