Sport Picks

Excelsior Maassluis vs EVV - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands

Derde Divisie

EVV

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Excelsior Maassluis host EVV in the Derde Divisie. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. EVV have shipped 2.22 goals a game lately, while Excelsior Maassluis have conceded 1.22 and scored 1.65. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 0.81, favoring Excelsior Maassluis. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Excelsior Maassluis

20%

Draws

20%

EVV

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excelsior Maassluis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence

Excelsior Maassluis have won more games recently than EVV.
Win probability leans Excelsior Maassluis's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 20%

EVV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Excelsior Maassluis	EVV
Matches Played	37	27
Wins	18	7
Draws	6	5
Losses	13	15
Goals Scored	1.65	1.41
Goals Conceded	1.22	2.22
Expected Goals (xG)	1.94	0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior Maassluis 85 / 100

EVV 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Excelsior Maassluis EVV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Maassluis Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EVV let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Excelsior Maassluis remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Excelsior Maassluis found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (37 games).

EVV's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior Maassluis VS EVV

2.38 Goals Scored 1.13

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History