Sport Picks
Excelsior Maassluis vs Jong Volendam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 
Match Events
8'
8'
Urbanus G.
13'
13'
Wennekers B.
Assist: Langedijk P.
24'
24'
Koorndijk J.
AI Match Summary
The Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 game between Excelsior Maassluis and Jong Volendam finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excelsior Maassluis.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior Maassluis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Excelsior Maassluis carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Excelsior Maassluis a 58% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 20%
Jong Volendam Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excelsior Maassluis | Jong Volendam |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 2.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 4, 2023 Tweede Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs Jong Volendam
4:2
Sep 17, 2022 Tweede Divisie
Jong Volendam vs Excelsior Maassluis
2:2
Jun 4, 2022 Tweede Divisie
Jong Volendam vs Excelsior Maassluis
3:1
Nov 20, 2021 Tweede Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs Jong Volendam
3:2
Mar 6, 2021 Tweede Divisie
Jong Volendam vs Excelsior Maassluis
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Excelsior Maassluis Compare
Top Goalscorer Wennekers B.
3 Goals Assists Leader Urbanus G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77
Jong Volendam Compare
Top Goalscorer Read G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Wouter T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Excelsior Maassluis 85 / 100
Jong Volendam 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Excelsior Maassluis Jong Volendam
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excelsior Maassluis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Jong Volendam conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Excelsior Maassluis went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Excelsior Maassluis scored in 71% of their last 35 games.
Scoring Trends
Excelsior Maassluis VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Excelsior Maassluis
(Home) 03 Oct
VVSB
2 : 3 Excelsior Maassluis
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0 Blauw Geel
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0 Roosendaal
12 Sept
Achilles Veen
2 : 3 Excelsior Maassluis
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0 Blauw Geel
19 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
5 : 0 Roosendaal
05 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
0 : 0 VV Noordwijk
22 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 1 Groene Ster
08 Aug
Excelsior Maassluis
4 : 2 Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 4
Jong Volendam
(Away) 05 Aug
RKAV Volendam
2 : 0 Jong Volendam
03 Aug
AFC
2 : 1 Jong Volendam
27 May
Hardenberg
0 : 3 Jong Volendam
20 May
Jong Volendam
4 : 3 Rijnsburgse Boys
16 May
Jong Volendam
3 : 3 IJsselmeervogels
Page 1 of 6
05 Aug
RKAV Volendam
2 : 0 Jong Volendam
03 Aug
AFC
2 : 1 Jong Volendam
27 May
Hardenberg
0 : 3 Jong Volendam
14 May
TEC
2 : 2 Jong Volendam
22 Apr
De Treffers
6 : 1 Jong Volendam
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katwijk | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 74:36 | 71 |
| 2 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 73:42 | 69 |
| 3 | AFC | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 60:31 | 69 |
| 4 | Hardenberg | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 75:48 | 60 |
| 5 | De Treffers | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 66:45 | 60 |
| 6 | Quick Boys | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 72:48 | 56 |
| 7 | Koninklijke HFC | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 52:41 | 55 |
| 8 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 38:46 | 45 |
| 9 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:45 | 43 |
| 10 | Jong Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 58:61 | 43 |
| 11 | Spakenburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 50:55 | 43 |
| 12 | Lisse | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45:51 | 42 |
| 13 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 50:58 | 40 |
| 14 | Excelsior Maassluis | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50:69 | 39 |
| 15 | TEC | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 41:60 | 39 |
| 16 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 51:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Jong Volendam | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 45:82 | 26 |
| 18 | OFC Oostzaan | 34 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33:89 | 20 |
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2023/2024 (Main)
