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Excelsior Maassluis vs Rijnsburgse Boys

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Dijkpolder
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
van der Weijden M.
Assist: van Haaften T.
53' Event
Spruijt J.
Assist: Kariouh I.
62'
Sub
van der Velden S. In: Madi A.
Out: van der Velden S.

AI Match Summary

The Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 game between Excelsior Maassluis and Rijnsburgse Boys finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rijnsburgse Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Excelsior Maassluis
30%
Draws
34%
Rijnsburgse Boys
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Excelsior Maassluis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rijnsburgse Boys come out ahead of Excelsior Maassluis on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Excelsior Maassluis taking it.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Excelsior Maassluis Clean Sheet 10%
Rijnsburgse Boys Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Maassluis Rijnsburgse Boys
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.88 2.83
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs Rijnsburgse Boys
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Rijnsburgse Boys vs Excelsior Maassluis
5:0
Feb 8, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs Rijnsburgse Boys
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Rijnsburgse Boys vs Excelsior Maassluis
4:0
Apr 13, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Excelsior Maassluis vs Rijnsburgse Boys
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Excelsior Maassluis Compare

Top Goalscorer Plank D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Rijnsburgse Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Weijden M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Spruijt J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.57
Avg xA / game 1.57

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior Maassluis 34 / 100
Rijnsburgse Boys 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Maassluis Rijnsburgse Boys

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rijnsburgse Boys let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Excelsior Maassluis's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Excelsior Maassluis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior Maassluis VS Rijnsburgse Boys
0.88 Goals Scored 2.83
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.67
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 67%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Quick Boys341910569:3566
2De Treffers34189764:3763
3HSV Hoek34196960:3763
4Rijnsburgse Boys341681076:5556
5Hardenberg341751258:4456
6Spakenburg341681072:6056
7Katwijk341571260:5552
8Jong Almere City341551470:6250
9Kozakken Boys341381347:5547
10Jong Sparta Rotterdam341291371:7345
11AFC341291346:5445
12Barendrecht341341762:8443
13RKAV Volendam341331850:6242
14GVVV341261652:6742
15Koninklijke HFC341231933:4939
16IJsselmeervogels34942146:6531
17Excelsior Maassluis34871939:5831
18ACV Assen34791848:7130